Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Braga
Estoril 		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-172
+460
-175
+490
1.43
1.00		2.43
o2½-122
u2½+108

Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Portimonense
Famalicao		27.8%
46.3%		25.9%
+406
-124
+430
-140
3
0		-1.65297-1.71630-1.28042
Gil Vicente FC
Moreirense		31.1%
40.1%		28.8%
+198
+163
+200
+155
2
2		-1.20188-1.16709-1.24563
Braga
Benfica		21.9%
60.1%		18.0%
+479
-154
+470
-175
1
6		-0.52072-0.50069-0.50889
Sporting CP
Pacos		56.6%
22.2%		21.2%
-154
+556
-170
+625
2
0		-0.52204-0.51452-0.56863
Porto
Santa Clara		58.5%
21.1%		20.4%
-255
+791
-250
+725
3
0		-0.35675-0.38578-0.53566
Maritimo
Tondela		25.0%
49.2%		25.7%
+292
+109
+270
+110
2
4		-0.76363-0.79025-0.70832
Moreirense
Vitoria		30.0%
42.7%		27.4%
+522
-163
+490
-165
1
2		-0.50256-0.52118-0.85198
Belenenses
Portimonense		23.0%
50.7%		26.3%
+429
-122
+380
-120
0
2		-0.63337-0.65710-0.67960
Estoril
FC Vizela		30.3%
42.1%		27.6%
+247
+134
+240
+120
1
1		-1.22288-1.24434-1.28587
Famalicao
Boavista		36.2%
34.9%		28.8%
-101
+337
-105
+310
5
2		-0.70997-0.71803-1.01495
Arouca
Gil Vicente FC		24.0%
52.4%		23.6%
+346
-105
+340
-115
1
1		-1.29098-1.28906-1.44405
Pacos
Moreirense		29.3%
43.5%		27.1%
+230
+145
+210
+145
1
1		-1.18872-1.19448-1.30390
Portimonense
Braga		20.1%
60.9%		19.0%
+651
-209
+575
-210
0
3		-0.42227-0.43615-0.49623
FC Vizela
Famalicao		23.0%
56.4%		20.6%
+399
-133
+375
-135
1
1		-1.38051-1.38202-1.58173
Santa Clara
Belenenses		31.2%
37.9%		31.0%
+135
+260
+120
+245
1
2		-1.30346-1.28913-0.97143
Gil Vicente FC
Maritimo		37.1%
32.4%		30.5%
+165
+210
+170
+190
2
1		-0.99379-1.04064-0.99088
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).