Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		32.5%
40.8%		26.7%
+193
+139
+200
+140
1.18
1.35		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		73.5%
9.4%		17.1%
-365
+900
-370
+930
2.25
0.66		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente FC		27.2%
45.9%		27.0%
+300
+107
+310
+100
2
2		-1.25061-1.22895-1.31037
Braga
Vitoria		46.8%
28.4%		24.7%
-103
+307
+110
+260
1
2		-1.42745-1.32791-1.25836
Portimonense
Pacos		34.7%
34.6%		30.8%
+233
+156
+220
+150
1
1		-1.14703-1.13202-1.17860
Estoril
Maritimo		60.0%
19.6%		20.4%
+221
+153
+210
+145
0
0		-1.18009-1.19448-1.58964
Sporting CP
Belenenses		66.4%
16.1%		17.5%
-385
+1295
-395
+1200
4
1		-0.25991-0.27776-0.40908
Gil Vicente FC
Benfica		10.1%
81.8%		8.1%
+657
-213
+620
-230
2
1		-2.05152-2.02155-2.29472
Boavista
Santa Clara		28.6%
43.2%		28.2%
+315
+105
+300
+110
1
2		-0.75366-0.78955-0.83961
Arouca
Famalicao		22.1%
58.2%		19.8%
+309
+107
+300
+110
0
0		-1.24105-1.17902-1.62151
Pacos
Estoril		15.4%
70.2%		14.4%
+311
+107
+300
+105
0
0		-1.22721-1.21224-1.93531
Maritimo
Porto		6.6%
87.0%		6.3%
+1456
-540
+1450
-600
1
2		-0.20329-0.20360-0.13885
Moreirense
Braga		16.2%
70.0%		13.9%
+741
-232
+750
-245
0
2		-0.38409-0.39109-0.35719
Tondela
Portimonense		20.6%
57.7%		21.7%
+251
+123
+240
+120
2
1		-1.28103-1.27418-1.58211
Vitoria
FC Vizela		32.8%
38.6%		28.7%
+168
+178
+160
+170
2
3		-1.04654-1.04120-0.95303
Arouca
Estoril		14.9%
71.1%		14.0%
+327
+101
+305
+100
2
1		-1.47294-1.44745-1.90421
Famalicao
Porto		14.4%
74.3%		11.3%
+1344
-455
+1300
-510
1
3		-0.22386-0.22818-0.29727
Portimonense
Gil Vicente FC		32.2%
37.3%		30.5%
+369
-120
+365
-125
0
1		-0.63256-0.63875-0.98701
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).