Alverca at Benfica

Updated

Alverca

3.6%9.0%87.4%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.53Projected Goals 3.13
1Final Score 2

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Alverca
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Estrela+100
L 0-5 at Braga+550
W 1-2 vs Moreirense+130
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+280
L 1-4 at Estoril+240
Benfica
Money Line
T 0-0 at Tondela-360
W 0-4 vs Estrela-650
W 2-0 at Rio Ave-310
W 1-3 vs Estoril-500
T 2-2 at Braga+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alverca+1700-+1300+1200+1200+1200+1300+1277.8
Benfica-550--600-565-565-565-565-404.1
Draw+500-+625+650+650+650+650+694.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alverca+1875----+2100+2100+1277.8
Benfica-570-----625-625-404.1
Draw+550----+600+600+694.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alverca: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Alverca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alverca: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alverca ML moved from +1400 to +1300
Benfica ML moved from -550 to -565

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alverca: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Alverca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alverca: 80.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Alverca ML
Benfica ML moved from -600 to -625

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118-o3¼+100o3-125o3¼+102o3-125o3-125o3-114
Underu2¾-102-u3¼-120u3+105u3¼-124u3+105u3¼-120u3+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-114
Under-----u3+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-115 to o3-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.3%
 
No60.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.58%
Exactly 217.27%
Exactly 419.23%
Exactly 68.57%
Exactly 82.04%
Exactly 100.30%
 
Exactly 19.45%
Exactly 321.04%
Exactly 514.06%
Exactly 74.47%
Exactly 90.83%
Exactly 110.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Alverca
Exactly 058.90%
Exactly 131.18%
Exactly 28.25%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 04.39%
Exactly 113.72%
Exactly 221.44%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 417.47%
Exactly 510.92%
Exactly 65.69%
Exactly 72.54%
Exactly 80.99%
Exactly 90.35%
Exactly 100.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.40%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 46.29%
Exactly 60.60%
 
Exactly 131.15%
Exactly 314.87%
Exactly 52.13%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alverca
Exactly 078.27%
Exactly 119.18%
Exactly 22.35%
Exactly 30.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 023.51%
Exactly 134.04%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 311.89%
Exactly 44.30%
Exactly 51.25%
Exactly 60.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alverca
Wins by 2+ goals0.70%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals70.51%
Wins by 3+ goals49.30%
Wins by 4+ goals29.71%
Wins by 5+ goals15.50%
Wins by 6+ goals7.07%
Wins by 7+ goals2.84%
Wins by 8+ goals1.00%
Wins by 9+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Alverca
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Alverca
Wins by 1 goal2.85%
Wins by 2 goals0.60%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal16.88%
Wins by 2 goals21.21%
Wins by 3 goals19.60%
Wins by 4 goals14.20%
Wins by 5 goals8.43%
Wins by 6 goals4.23%
Wins by 7 goals1.84%
Wins by 8 goals0.70%
Wins by 9 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.42%2.58%
1.587.97%12.03%
2.570.70%29.30%
3.549.66%50.34%
4.530.43%69.57%
5.516.37%83.63%
6.57.80%92.20%
7.53.32%96.68%
8.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Alverca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.10%58.90%
1.59.92%90.08%
2.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.61%4.39%
1.581.90%18.10%
2.560.46%39.54%
3.538.11%61.89%
4.520.64%79.36%
5.59.72%90.28%
6.54.03%95.97%
7.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.60%18.40%
1.550.45%49.55%
2.524.08%75.92%
3.59.21%90.79%
4.52.92%97.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alverca
Benfica
Score012345
0
2.58%
8.08%
12.63%
13.16%
10.29%
6.43%
1
1.37%
4.28%
6.68%
6.97%
5.45%
3.41%
2
0.36%
1.13%
1.77%
1.84%
1.44%
0.90%
Alverca
1-01.37%
2-00.36%
2-11.13%
Draw
0-02.58%
1-14.28%
2-21.77%
3-30.33%
Benfica
0-18.08%
0-212.63%
1-26.68%
0-313.16%
1-36.97%
2-31.84%
0-410.29%
1-45.45%
2-41.44%
3-40.25%
0-56.43%
1-53.41%
2-50.90%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Alverca
Benfica
Score0123456
0
18.40%
26.64%
19.28%
9.30%
3.37%
0.97%
0.24%
1
4.51%
6.53%
4.73%
2.28%
0.83%
0.24%
0.06%
2
0.55%
0.80%
0.58%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Alverca
1-04.51%
2-00.55%
2-10.80%
Draw
0-018.40%
1-16.53%
2-20.58%
Benfica
0-126.64%
0-219.28%
1-24.73%
0-39.30%
1-32.28%
2-30.28%
0-43.37%
1-40.83%
2-40.10%
0-50.97%
1-50.24%
0-60.24%
Rio Ave at Braga
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