Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		32.5%
40.8%		26.7%
+200
+148
+200
+140
1.18
1.35		2.53
o2¼-115
u2½-134

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+430
-145
+445
-150
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2¼-115
u2½-137

Benfica
Arouca 		73.5%
9.4%		17.1%
-357
+900
-370
+930
2.25
0.66		2.91
o3-101
u3-118

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Portimonense
Famalicao		27.3%
47.6%		25.1%
+225
+140
+235
+135
1
0		-1.21963-1.25956-1.29689
Braga
Rio Ave		54.1%
24.0%		21.9%
-140
+375
-130
+355
0
0		-1.41387-1.37212-1.52042
Gil Vicente FC
Benfica		15.8%
70.3%		13.9%
+1400
-435
+1500
-525
2
1		-2.73614-2.82195-1.84820
Maritimo
Belenenses		34.2%
33.3%		32.5%
+282
+116
+260
+125
0
2		-0.81146-0.85982-1.10081
Santa Clara
Vitoria		24.9%
50.7%		24.4%
+240
+133
+245
+125
0
1		-0.87098-0.86140-0.67871
Sporting CP
SC Farense		68.6%
16.5%		14.9%
-141
+454
-155
+450
1
0		-0.56708-0.54932-0.37685
Pacos
Boavista		43.2%
29.0%		27.8%
+225
+146
+235
+135
0
2		-0.93930-0.90503-1.23822
Famalicao
Sporting CP		17.2%
66.4%		16.4%
+575
-161
+600
-205
1
1		-1.38214-1.49598-1.80697
Belenenses
Braga		14.5%
68.2%		17.3%
+725
-259
+700
-250
1
1		-1.59302-1.60674-1.75342
Nacional
Santa Clara		28.3%
44.2%		27.4%
+435
-132
+410
-135
1
5		-0.60006-0.60150-0.81545
Moreirense
Gil Vicente FC		38.1%
34.2%		27.7%
+257
+119
+265
+115
2
1		-1.31423-1.34504-0.96532
Benfica
Pacos		51.6%
25.6%		22.8%
-213
+610
-225
+575
5
0		-0.42757-0.41746-0.66169
Porto
Tondela		72.5%
11.7%		15.8%
-303
+850
-290
+825
2
0		-0.32999-0.34667-0.32154
Rio Ave
Boavista		39.9%
31.8%		28.3%
+176
+186
+170
+180
3
3		-1.14517-1.18026-1.26185
SC Farense
Maritimo		29.2%
44.3%		26.5%
+145
+207
+160
+200
0
1		-1.17662-1.14863-0.81504
Vitoria
Portimonense		52.0%
23.4%		24.6%
+183
+160
+185
+160
0
3		-1.00567-1.01195-1.45355
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).