Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		32.5%
40.8%		26.7%
+200
+148
+200
+140
1.18
1.35		2.53
o2¼-115
u2½-134

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+430
-145
+445
-150
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2¼-115
u2½-137

Benfica
Arouca 		73.5%
9.4%		17.1%
-357
+900
-370
+930
2.25
0.66		2.91
o3-101
u3-118

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tondela
Portimonense		32.8%
35.5%		31.7%
+345
-105
+350
-115
0
3		-0.36376-0.34745-1.03527
Santa Clara
Sporting CP		17.0%
66.8%		16.2%
+808
-200
+800
-240
1
2		-0.15288-0.14618-0.40404
Nacional
Pacos		23.7%
52.1%		24.2%
+435
-132
+450
-145
1
2		-0.28406-0.26789-0.65164
Rio Ave
Benfica		19.3%
62.5%		18.2%
+683
-244
+650
-240
0
2		-0.16556-0.17302-0.46957
Braga
Nacional		65.4%
18.3%		16.3%
-185
+510
-190
+525
2
1		-0.23442-0.22428-0.42425
Gil Vicente FC
Tondela		34.6%
34.1%		31.3%
+155
+195
+150
+200
0
1		-0.76867-0.78847-1.07447
Maritimo
Portimonense		36.9%
31.9%		31.2%
+350
+105
+350
-110
0
0		-0.76850-0.78237-0.69750
Sporting CP
Porto		27.0%
48.8%		24.2%
+312
-104
+290
+100
0
0		-0.76046-0.74789-0.72698
Pacos
Santa Clara		38.9%
32.1%		29.0%
+175
+180
+175
+185
0
3		-0.70221-0.71117-1.13625
SC Farense
Famalicao		28.2%
47.6%		24.2%
+210
+140
+205
+140
0
0		-0.70132-0.70031-0.72708
Boavista
Vitoria		22.1%
55.6%		22.3%
+255
+119
+255
+120
1
2		-0.48051-0.48225-0.58787

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).