Real Sociedad at Valencia

Updated

Real Sociedad

42.0%26.2%31.9%
Real Sociedad WinDrawValencia Win
1.46Projected Goals 1.10
0Final Score 0

Valencia

Last 5 Games

Real Sociedad
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Getafe-140
W 0-1 vs Celta Vigo-130
T 1-1 at Alaves-110
L 3-1 vs Villarreal+120
L 0-4 at Betis+225
Valencia
Money Line
L 2-3 at Atletico Madrid+800
T 1-1 vs Sevilla+225
L 1-4 at Real Madrid+750
L 2-1 vs Espanyol-130
W 4-3 at Levante+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Sociedad+165+110+120+116+109+115+116+125.0
Valencia+175+270+260+293+273+275+293+285.6
Draw+210+225+230+230+220+230+230+237.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Sociedad+155---+135+115+135+125.0
Valencia+180---+160+260+260+285.6
Draw+230---+215+225+225+237.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Valencia: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Valencia: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Sociedad ML moved from +116 to +109
Valencia ML moved from +275 to +265

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Valencia: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Sociedad: 70.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Sociedad ML moved from +130 to +115
No Steam Moves On Valencia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2¼-115o2¼-111--o2¼-111o2¼-111o2¼-102
Underu2¼-108u2¼-105u2¼-109--u2¼-109u2¼-105u2¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½+110--o2½-105o2½+105o2½+110o2¼-102
Underu2½-135u2½-130--u2½-125u2½-125u2½-125u2¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.2%
 
No48.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.77%
Exactly 225.36%
Exactly 413.80%
Exactly 63.00%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.85%
Exactly 321.60%
Exactly 57.05%
Exactly 71.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 023.39%
Exactly 133.98%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 311.95%
Exactly 44.34%
Exactly 51.26%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 033.21%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.18%
Exactly 37.41%
Exactly 42.04%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.64%
Exactly 221.44%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 38.45%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 051.04%
Exactly 134.33%
Exactly 211.54%
Exactly 32.59%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 060.03%
Exactly 130.64%
Exactly 27.82%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals21.98%
Wins by 3+ goals8.43%
Wins by 4+ goals2.60%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals11.07%
Wins by 3+ goals3.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Sociedad
Valencia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal23.08%
Wins by 2 goals13.55%
Wins by 3 goals5.84%
Wins by 4 goals1.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal17.51%
Wins by 2 goals7.80%
Wins by 3 goals2.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.23%7.77%
1.572.38%27.62%
2.547.02%52.98%
3.525.43%74.57%
4.511.63%88.37%
5.54.58%95.42%
6.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.61%23.39%
1.542.62%57.38%
2.517.94%82.06%
3.55.99%94.01%
4.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.79%33.21%
1.530.18%69.82%
2.510.01%89.99%
3.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.36%30.64%
1.533.12%66.88%
2.511.68%88.32%
3.53.23%96.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Sociedad
Valencia
Score012345
0
7.77%
8.56%
4.72%
1.73%
0.48%
0.11%
1
11.29%
12.44%
6.86%
2.52%
0.69%
0.15%
2
8.20%
9.04%
4.98%
1.83%
0.50%
0.11%
3
3.97%
4.38%
2.41%
0.89%
0.24%
0.05%
4
1.44%
1.59%
0.88%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.42%
0.46%
0.25%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Real Sociedad
1-011.29%
2-08.20%
2-19.04%
3-03.97%
3-14.38%
3-22.41%
4-01.44%
4-11.59%
4-20.88%
4-30.32%
5-00.42%
5-10.46%
5-20.25%
Draw
0-07.77%
1-112.44%
2-24.98%
3-30.89%
Valencia
0-18.56%
0-24.72%
1-26.86%
0-31.73%
1-32.52%
2-31.83%
0-40.48%
1-40.69%
2-40.50%
3-40.24%
0-50.11%
1-50.15%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Sociedad
Valencia
Score0123
0
30.64%
15.64%
3.99%
0.68%
1
20.61%
10.52%
2.68%
0.46%
2
6.93%
3.54%
0.90%
0.15%
3
1.55%
0.79%
0.20%
0.03%
4
0.26%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Real Sociedad
1-020.61%
2-06.93%
2-13.54%
3-01.55%
3-10.79%
3-20.20%
4-00.26%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-030.64%
1-110.52%
2-20.90%
Valencia
0-115.64%
0-23.99%
1-22.68%
0-30.68%
1-30.46%
2-30.15%