Sevilla at Valencia

Updated

Sevilla

46.5%25.4%28.1%
Sevilla WinDrawValencia Win
1.56Projected Goals 0.95
1Final Score 1

Valencia

Last 5 Games

Sevilla
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Getafe-190
W 1-0 at Cadiz-155
T 1-1 vs Barcelona+145
W 1-2 vs Atletico Madrid+200
W 1-0 at Athletic Club+230
Valencia
Money Line
L 1-4 at Real Madrid+750
L 2-1 vs Espanyol-130
W 4-3 at Levante+140
W 1-2 vs Elche-150
W 2-1 at Celta Vigo+315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+135+158+145+155+152+155+158+166.6
Valencia+225+217+215+225+210+225+225+228.9
Draw+200+215+210+200+193+200+215+211.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+130---+120+145+145+166.6
Valencia+230---+200+225+225+228.9
Draw+220---+195+200+200+211.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 20.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +150 to +140
Valencia ML moved from +220 to +210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 10.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +160 to +150
Valencia ML moved from +210 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2-123o2¼+108o2-126-o2-126o2-123o2¼+117
Underu2¼-112u2+108u2¼-128u2+106-u2+106u2¼-128u2¼-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2-120--o2-150o2-125o2-120o2¼+117
Underu2+120u2+100--u2+120u2+105u2+120u2¼-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.10%
Exactly 225.58%
Exactly 413.47%
Exactly 62.84%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.35%
Exactly 321.43%
Exactly 56.77%
Exactly 71.02%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 020.86%
Exactly 132.69%
Exactly 225.62%
Exactly 313.39%
Exactly 45.25%
Exactly 51.64%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 038.83%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.37%
Exactly 35.48%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.23%
Exactly 221.15%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.20%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 048.40%
Exactly 135.12%
Exactly 212.75%
Exactly 33.08%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 064.53%
Exactly 128.27%
Exactly 26.19%
Exactly 30.90%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals26.99%
Wins by 3+ goals11.11%
Wins by 4+ goals3.68%
Wins by 5+ goals0.96%
Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals7.81%
Wins by 3+ goals2.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Sevilla
Valencia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal24.74%
Wins by 2 goals15.87%
Wins by 3 goals7.44%
Wins by 4 goals2.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.80%
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal14.93%
Wins by 2 goals5.78%
Wins by 3 goals1.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.90%8.10%
1.571.55%28.45%
2.545.97%54.03%
3.524.53%75.47%
4.511.06%88.94%
5.54.29%95.71%
6.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.14%20.86%
1.546.45%53.55%
2.520.83%79.17%
3.57.44%92.56%
4.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.17%38.83%
1.524.44%75.56%
2.57.06%92.94%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.77%31.23%
1.532.42%67.58%
2.511.28%88.72%
3.53.07%96.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sevilla
Valencia
Score01234
0
8.10%
7.66%
3.62%
1.14%
0.27%
1
12.69%
12.01%
5.68%
1.79%
0.42%
2
9.95%
9.41%
4.45%
1.40%
0.33%
3
5.20%
4.92%
2.33%
0.73%
0.17%
4
2.04%
1.93%
0.91%
0.29%
0.07%
5
0.64%
0.60%
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
Sevilla
1-012.69%
2-09.95%
2-19.41%
3-05.20%
3-14.92%
3-22.33%
4-02.04%
4-11.93%
4-20.91%
4-30.29%
5-00.64%
5-10.60%
5-20.29%
Draw
0-08.10%
1-112.01%
2-24.45%
3-30.73%
Valencia
0-17.66%
0-23.62%
1-25.68%
0-31.14%
1-31.79%
2-31.40%
0-40.27%
1-40.42%
2-40.33%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Sevilla
Valencia
Score0123
0
31.23%
13.68%
3.00%
0.44%
1
22.67%
9.93%
2.17%
0.32%
2
8.23%
3.60%
0.79%
0.12%
3
1.99%
0.87%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.36%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
Sevilla
1-022.67%
2-08.23%
2-13.60%
3-01.99%
3-10.87%
3-20.19%
4-00.36%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-031.23%
1-19.93%
2-20.79%
Valencia
0-113.68%
0-23.00%
1-22.17%
0-30.44%
1-30.32%
2-30.12%