Atletico Madrid at Sevilla

Updated

Atletico Madrid

46.0%26.3%27.6%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawSevilla Win
1.45Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 2

Sevilla

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Barcelona+217
L 2-3 at Real Madrid+250
W 0-1 vs Getafe-160
W 2-3 vs Real Sociedad-155
W 1-0 at Oviedo-130
Sevilla
Money Line
L 0-1 at Oviedo+175
L 2-0 vs Valencia+130
L 2-5 at Barcelona+825
T 1-1 vs Rayo Vallecano+157
T 2-2 at Betis+375

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+111+225+225+226+226+226+226+237.4
Sevilla+250+121+114+122+122+122+122+129.8
Draw+240+255+255+260+260+260+260+272.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+125-+225--+220+225+237.4
Sevilla+255-+116--+115+116+129.8
Draw+210-+266--+265+266+272.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 50.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +225 to +215
Sevilla ML moved from +130 to +122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 50.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +225 to +205
Sevilla ML moved from +125 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-104o2½-118o2½-118o2½-118o2½-118o2½-118o2½-118o2½-107
Underu2½-116u2½+105u2½-102u2½-102u2½-102u2½-102u2½+105u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2½-120o2½-118--o2½-115o2½-115o2½-107
Underu2½-140u2½+100u2½-102--u2½-105u2½+100u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-116 to u2¼-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.14%
Exactly 225.61%
Exactly 413.42%
Exactly 62.81%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.42%
Exactly 321.41%
Exactly 56.73%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 023.50%
Exactly 134.03%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 311.90%
Exactly 44.31%
Exactly 51.25%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 034.66%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.46%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.31%
Exactly 221.11%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 38.17%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 051.14%
Exactly 134.29%
Exactly 211.50%
Exactly 32.57%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 061.22%
Exactly 130.04%
Exactly 27.37%
Exactly 31.21%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals22.47%
Wins by 3+ goals8.63%
Wins by 4+ goals2.66%
Wins by 5+ goals0.65%
Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals10.38%
Wins by 3+ goals2.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.48%
Wins by 2 goals13.84%
Wins by 3 goals5.97%
Wins by 4 goals2.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.54%
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal17.18%
Wins by 2 goals7.41%
Wins by 3 goals2.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.86%8.14%
1.571.43%28.57%
2.545.82%54.18%
3.524.41%75.59%
4.510.99%89.01%
5.54.26%95.74%
6.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.50%23.50%
1.542.47%57.53%
2.517.83%82.17%
3.55.93%94.07%
4.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.34%34.66%
1.528.62%71.38%
2.59.16%90.84%
3.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.69%31.31%
1.532.33%67.67%
2.511.22%88.78%
3.53.05%96.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Score01234
0
8.14%
8.63%
4.57%
1.61%
0.43%
1
11.79%
12.50%
6.62%
2.34%
0.62%
2
8.54%
9.05%
4.80%
1.69%
0.45%
3
4.12%
4.37%
2.31%
0.82%
0.22%
4
1.49%
1.58%
0.84%
0.30%
0.08%
5
0.43%
0.46%
0.24%
0.09%
0.02%
Atletico Madrid
1-011.79%
2-08.54%
2-19.05%
3-04.12%
3-14.37%
3-22.31%
4-01.49%
4-11.58%
4-20.84%
4-30.30%
5-00.43%
5-10.46%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-08.14%
1-112.50%
2-24.80%
3-30.82%
Sevilla
0-18.63%
0-24.57%
1-26.62%
0-31.61%
1-32.34%
2-31.69%
0-40.43%
1-40.62%
2-40.45%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Score0123
0
31.31%
15.36%
3.77%
0.62%
1
21.00%
10.30%
2.53%
0.41%
2
7.04%
3.45%
0.85%
0.14%
3
1.57%
0.77%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.26%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Atletico Madrid
1-021.00%
2-07.04%
2-13.45%
3-01.57%
3-10.77%
3-20.19%
4-00.26%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-031.31%
1-110.30%
2-20.85%
Sevilla
0-115.36%
0-23.77%
1-22.53%
0-30.62%
1-30.41%
2-30.14%