Valencia at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Valencia

8.2%15.6%76.1%
WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.65Projected Goals 2.39

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sevilla+100
T 1-1 at Rayo Vallecano+300
W 0-1 vs Levante+105
T 1-1 vs Betis+236
L 0-4 at Real Madrid+1800
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 0-1 at Athletic Club+165
L 1-3 at Barcelona+364
W 0-2 vs Oviedo-405
W 1-0 at Getafe-110
W 1-3 vs Levante-505

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+1000-+975+1000-+1000+1000+1065.8
Atletico Madrid-320--305-338--338-305-267.8
Draw+395-+385+407-+407+407+437.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia-----+1065.8
Atletico Madrid------267.8
Draw-----+437.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +1000 to +975
No Steam Moves On Atletico Madrid ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108-o2¾-105o2¾-109-o2¾-109o2¾-105o2¾+101
Underu2¾-112-u2¾-115u2¾-111-u2¾-111u2¾-111u2¾-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+101
Under-----u2¾-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.76%
Exactly 222.07%
Exactly 417.05%
Exactly 65.27%
Exactly 80.87%
 
Exactly 114.49%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.38%
Exactly 72.29%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 052.18%
Exactly 133.94%
Exactly 211.04%
Exactly 32.39%
Exactly 40.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 09.12%
Exactly 121.84%
Exactly 226.15%
Exactly 320.87%
Exactly 412.49%
Exactly 55.98%
Exactly 62.39%
Exactly 70.82%
Exactly 80.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.42%
Exactly 224.27%
Exactly 44.02%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.43%
Exactly 311.40%
Exactly 51.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 073.99%
Exactly 122.29%
Exactly 23.36%
Exactly 30.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 033.00%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.28%
Exactly 37.49%
Exactly 42.08%
Exactly 50.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals1.97%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals53.16%
Wins by 3+ goals30.90%
Wins by 4+ goals15.05%
Wins by 5+ goals6.21%
Wins by 6+ goals2.19%
Wins by 7+ goals0.64%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Atletico Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal6.22%
Wins by 2 goals1.63%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal22.90%
Wins by 2 goals22.26%
Wins by 3 goals15.85%
Wins by 4 goals8.83%
Wins by 5 goals4.03%
Wins by 6 goals1.55%
Wins by 7 goals0.51%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.24%4.76%
1.580.75%19.25%
2.558.68%41.32%
3.536.28%63.72%
4.519.23%80.77%
5.58.85%91.15%
6.53.58%96.42%
7.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.82%52.18%
1.513.88%86.12%
2.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.88%9.12%
1.569.03%30.97%
2.542.88%57.12%
3.522.01%77.99%
4.59.52%90.48%
5.53.53%96.47%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.58%24.42%
1.541.15%58.85%
2.516.89%83.11%
3.55.48%94.52%
4.51.46%98.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
4.76%
11.40%
13.65%
10.89%
6.52%
3.12%
1
3.10%
7.41%
8.88%
7.08%
4.24%
2.03%
2
1.01%
2.41%
2.89%
2.30%
1.38%
0.66%
3
0.22%
0.52%
0.63%
0.50%
0.30%
0.14%
Valencia
1-03.10%
2-01.01%
2-12.41%
3-00.22%
3-10.52%
3-20.63%
Draw
0-04.76%
1-17.41%
2-22.89%
3-30.50%
Atletico Madrid
0-111.40%
0-213.65%
1-28.88%
0-310.89%
1-37.08%
2-32.30%
0-46.52%
1-44.24%
2-41.38%
3-40.30%
0-53.12%
1-52.03%
2-50.66%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
24.42%
27.07%
15.01%
5.54%
1.54%
0.34%
1
7.36%
8.15%
4.52%
1.67%
0.46%
0.10%
2
1.11%
1.23%
0.68%
0.25%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.11%
0.12%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-07.36%
2-01.11%
2-11.23%
3-00.11%
3-10.12%
Draw
0-024.42%
1-18.15%
2-20.68%
Atletico Madrid
0-127.07%
0-215.01%
1-24.52%
0-35.54%
1-31.67%
2-30.25%
0-41.54%
1-40.46%
0-50.34%
1-50.10%