Almería at Real Madrid

Updated

Almeria

4.8%11.1%84.2%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.85
2Final Score 4

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Almeria
Money Line
W 2-1 at Getafe+380
L 2-1 vs Athletic Club+400
L 1-2 at Atletico Madrid+1250
W 1-2 vs Valencia+215
T 2-2 at Celta Vigo+550
Real Madrid
Money Line
L 2-4 at Girona-165
W 0-2 vs Celta Vigo-350
W 2-0 at Cadiz-185
L 3-2 vs Villarreal-205
W 0-6 vs Valladolid-520

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+1500+1693+1500+1800+1887+1800+1887+1864.6
Real Madrid-725-735-800-725-729-725-725-566.2
Draw+800+862+900+875+850+875+900+908.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+1425----+1250+1250+1864.6
Real Madrid-610-----675-675-566.2
Draw+700----+850+850+908.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +1720 to +1693
Real Madrid ML moved from -721 to -735

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +1280 to +1250
Real Madrid ML moved from -600 to -675

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-102o4-117o4-108o4-115o3½-159o4-115o4-108o4-104
Underu3¾-118u4-101u4-112u4-105u3½+144u4-105u4-101u4+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o4-105--o3½-130o4-105o3½-130o4-104
Underu3½-120u4-115--u3½+100u4-115u4-115u4+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-125 to o4-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.3%
 
No59.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.31%
Exactly 219.22%
Exactly 418.61%
Exactly 67.21%
Exactly 81.50%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.28%
Exactly 321.84%
Exactly 512.69%
Exactly 73.51%
Exactly 90.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 057.28%
Exactly 131.92%
Exactly 28.89%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 05.78%
Exactly 116.47%
Exactly 223.48%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 415.91%
Exactly 59.07%
Exactly 64.31%
Exactly 71.76%
Exactly 80.63%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.63%
Exactly 225.70%
Exactly 45.33%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.57%
Exactly 313.52%
Exactly 51.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 077.26%
Exactly 119.93%
Exactly 22.57%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 026.71%
Exactly 135.26%
Exactly 223.28%
Exactly 310.24%
Exactly 43.38%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals0.99%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals64.90%
Wins by 3+ goals42.75%
Wins by 4+ goals24.01%
Wins by 5+ goals11.59%
Wins by 6+ goals4.85%
Wins by 7+ goals1.76%
Wins by 8+ goals0.54%
Wins by 9+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Almeria
Real Madrid
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal3.75%
Wins by 2 goals0.84%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal19.20%
Wins by 2 goals22.15%
Wins by 3 goals18.74%
Wins by 4 goals12.42%
Wins by 5 goals6.74%
Wins by 6 goals3.09%
Wins by 7 goals1.22%
Wins by 8 goals0.42%
Wins by 9 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.69%3.31%
1.585.41%14.59%
2.566.19%33.81%
3.544.35%55.65%
4.525.74%74.26%
5.513.06%86.94%
6.55.85%94.15%
7.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.72%57.28%
1.510.80%89.20%
2.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.22%5.78%
1.577.75%22.25%
2.554.27%45.73%
3.531.95%68.05%
4.516.04%83.96%
5.56.97%93.03%
6.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.37%20.63%
1.546.80%53.20%
2.521.10%78.90%
3.57.58%92.42%
4.52.25%97.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almería
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
3.31%
9.43%
13.45%
12.78%
9.11%
5.20%
1
1.84%
5.26%
7.50%
7.12%
5.08%
2.90%
2
0.51%
1.46%
2.09%
1.99%
1.42%
0.81%
Almeria
1-01.84%
2-00.51%
2-11.46%
Draw
0-03.31%
1-15.26%
2-22.09%
3-30.37%
Real Madrid
0-19.43%
0-213.45%
1-27.50%
0-312.78%
1-37.12%
2-31.99%
0-49.11%
1-45.08%
2-41.42%
3-40.26%
0-55.20%
1-52.90%
2-50.81%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Almería
Real Madrid
Score0123456
0
20.63%
27.24%
17.98%
7.91%
2.61%
0.69%
0.15%
1
5.32%
7.03%
4.64%
2.04%
0.67%
0.18%
0.04%
2
0.69%
0.91%
0.60%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
Almeria
1-05.32%
2-00.69%
2-10.91%
Draw
0-020.63%
1-17.03%
2-20.60%
Real Madrid
0-127.24%
0-217.98%
1-24.64%
0-37.91%
1-32.04%
2-30.26%
0-42.61%
1-40.67%
0-50.69%
1-50.18%
0-60.15%