Valencia at Real Madrid

Updated

Valencia

6.4%12.8%80.8%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.64Projected Goals 2.72
0Final Score 4

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Villarreal+269
T 0-0 at Alaves+260
L 1-2 at Girona+214
L 2-1 vs Oviedo-132
T 2-2 at Espanyol+230
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Barcelona-110
W 1-0 at Getafe-235
W 1-3 vs Villarreal-265
L 2-5 at Atletico Madrid+125
W 4-1 at Levante-325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+1000+1677+1500+1790+1925+1790+1925+1856.9
Real Madrid-475-655-725-685-705-685-655-536.0
Draw+625+760+750+810+813+810+813+842.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+1095-+1700--+1800+1800+1856.9
Real Madrid-515--700---750-700-536.0
Draw+630-+720--+775+775+842.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +1870 to +1790
Real Madrid ML moved from -705 to -725

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Valencia ML
Real Madrid ML moved from -650 to -750

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-122o3½-117o3¾-102o3½-120o3½-116o3½-120o3½-116o3½-109
Underu3¼+102u3½-101u3¾-118u3½+100u3½-104u3½+100u3¾-118u3½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-103o3½-115o3½-115-o3½-110o3½-120o3½-110o3½-109
Underu3½-117u3½-105u3½-105-u3½-120u3½+100u3½+100u3½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.46%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 418.46%
Exactly 66.97%
Exactly 81.41%
Exactly 100.18%
 
Exactly 111.63%
Exactly 321.95%
Exactly 512.42%
Exactly 73.35%
Exactly 90.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 052.37%
Exactly 133.88%
Exactly 210.96%
Exactly 32.36%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 06.60%
Exactly 117.95%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 415.01%
Exactly 58.16%
Exactly 63.69%
Exactly 71.43%
Exactly 80.49%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.06%
Exactly 225.55%
Exactly 45.17%
Exactly 60.42%
 
Exactly 132.81%
Exactly 313.27%
Exactly 51.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 074.12%
Exactly 122.20%
Exactly 23.32%
Exactly 30.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 028.42%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.49%
Exactly 39.43%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals1.49%
Wins by 3+ goals0.25%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals60.29%
Wins by 3+ goals38.18%
Wins by 4+ goals20.55%
Wins by 5+ goals9.48%
Wins by 6+ goals3.79%
Wins by 7+ goals1.31%
Wins by 8+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal4.86%
Wins by 2 goals1.24%
Wins by 3 goals0.22%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal20.46%
Wins by 2 goals22.10%
Wins by 3 goals17.64%
Wins by 4 goals11.06%
Wins by 5 goals5.69%
Wins by 6 goals2.48%
Wins by 7 goals0.93%
Wins by 8 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.54%3.46%
1.584.91%15.09%
2.565.34%34.66%
3.543.39%56.61%
4.524.92%75.08%
5.512.50%87.50%
6.55.53%94.47%
7.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.63%52.37%
1.513.76%86.24%
2.52.80%97.20%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.40%6.60%
1.575.45%24.55%
2.551.07%48.93%
3.528.98%71.02%
4.513.97%86.03%
5.55.82%94.18%
6.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.94%21.06%
1.546.13%53.87%
2.520.58%79.42%
3.57.31%92.69%
4.52.14%97.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
3.46%
9.40%
12.77%
11.57%
7.86%
4.27%
1
2.24%
6.08%
8.26%
7.48%
5.08%
2.76%
2
0.72%
1.97%
2.67%
2.42%
1.64%
0.89%
3
0.16%
0.42%
0.58%
0.52%
0.35%
0.19%
Valencia
1-02.24%
2-00.72%
2-11.97%
3-00.16%
3-10.42%
3-20.58%
Draw
0-03.46%
1-16.08%
2-22.67%
3-30.52%
Real Madrid
0-19.40%
0-212.77%
1-28.26%
0-311.57%
1-37.48%
2-32.42%
0-47.86%
1-45.08%
2-41.64%
3-40.35%
0-54.27%
1-52.76%
2-50.89%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Real Madrid
Score0123456
0
21.06%
26.50%
16.67%
6.99%
2.20%
0.55%
0.12%
1
6.31%
7.94%
4.99%
2.09%
0.66%
0.17%
0.03%
2
0.94%
1.19%
0.75%
0.31%
0.10%
0.02%
0.01%
Valencia
1-06.31%
2-00.94%
2-11.19%
Draw
0-021.06%
1-17.94%
2-20.75%
Real Madrid
0-126.50%
0-216.67%
1-24.99%
0-36.99%
1-32.09%
2-30.31%
0-42.20%
1-40.66%
0-50.55%
1-50.17%
0-60.12%