Athletic Club at Real Sociedad

Updated

Athletic Club

42.5%28.7%28.9%
Athletic Club WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
1.25Projected Goals 0.97
2Final Score 3

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Athletic Club
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Getafe-155
T 0-0 at Elche+110
W 1-2 vs Mallorca-160
L 0-1 at Villarreal+280
T 1-1 vs Girona-225
Real Sociedad
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Sevilla+100
T 1-1 at Celta Vigo+292
L 1-0 vs Rayo Vallecano+111
L 1-2 at Barcelona+950
W 0-1 vs Mallorca-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletic Club+185+193+193+200+200+200+200+210.5
Real Sociedad+170+178+173+174+174+174+178+183.6
Draw+200+196+190+197+197+197+197+207.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletic Club+181-+180-+165+185+185+210.5
Real Sociedad+175-+180-+155+185+185+183.6
Draw+195-+195-+180+190+195+207.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletic Club: 30.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletic Club: 10.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Athletic Club ML moved from +190 to +182
Real Sociedad ML moved from +184 to +178

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletic Club: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletic Club: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Athletic Club ML moved from +202 to +180
Real Sociedad ML moved from +175 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+110o2-112o2-105o2-107o2-107o2-107o2-105o2+103
Underu2¼-130u2-104u2-115u2-113u2-113u2-113u2-104u2-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-118o2-115o2-110-o2-120o2-115o2-110o2+103
Underu2-102u2-105u2-110-u2-110u2-105u2-105u2-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.91%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 410.95%
Exactly 61.79%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.17%
Exactly 319.77%
Exactly 54.85%
Exactly 70.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletic Club
Exactly 028.84%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 39.24%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 037.85%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.87%
Exactly 35.79%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.86%
Exactly 218.86%
Exactly 41.65%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.45%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletic Club
Exactly 056.23%
Exactly 132.37%
Exactly 29.32%
Exactly 31.79%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 063.77%
Exactly 128.69%
Exactly 26.45%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletic Club
Wins by 2+ goals18.84%
Wins by 3+ goals6.45%
Wins by 4+ goals1.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.38%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals10.38%
Wins by 3+ goals2.82%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Athletic Club
Wins by 1 goal23.60%
Wins by 2 goals12.39%
Wins by 3 goals4.69%
Wins by 4 goals1.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal18.44%
Wins by 2 goals7.57%
Wins by 3 goals2.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.09%10.91%
1.564.91%35.09%
2.538.14%61.86%
3.518.37%81.63%
4.57.42%92.58%
5.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals Athletic Club Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.16%28.84%
1.535.31%64.69%
2.513.01%86.99%
3.53.77%96.23%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.15%37.85%
1.525.38%74.62%
2.57.52%92.48%
3.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.14%35.86%
1.527.37%72.63%
2.58.51%91.49%
3.52.06%97.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
10.91%
10.60%
5.15%
1.67%
0.41%
1
13.57%
13.19%
6.41%
2.07%
0.50%
2
8.44%
8.20%
3.98%
1.29%
0.31%
3
3.50%
3.40%
1.65%
0.53%
0.13%
4
1.09%
1.06%
0.51%
0.17%
0.04%
5
0.27%
0.26%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Athletic Club
1-013.57%
2-08.44%
2-18.20%
3-03.50%
3-13.40%
3-21.65%
4-01.09%
4-11.06%
4-20.51%
4-30.17%
5-00.27%
5-10.26%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-010.91%
1-113.19%
2-23.98%
3-30.53%
Real Sociedad
0-110.60%
0-25.15%
1-26.41%
0-31.67%
1-32.07%
2-31.29%
0-40.41%
1-40.50%
2-40.31%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Score0123
0
35.86%
16.13%
3.63%
0.54%
1
20.65%
9.29%
2.09%
0.31%
2
5.94%
2.67%
0.60%
0.09%
3
1.14%
0.51%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Athletic Club
1-020.65%
2-05.94%
2-12.67%
3-01.14%
3-10.51%
3-20.12%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-035.86%
1-19.29%
2-20.60%
Real Sociedad
0-116.13%
0-23.63%
1-22.09%
0-30.54%
1-30.31%