Valencia at Alavés

Updated

Valencia

35.2%28.5%36.3%
Valencia WinDrawAlavés Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.16
1Final Score 2

Alaves

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Real Sociedad+260
L 2-3 at Atletico Madrid+800
T 1-1 vs Sevilla+225
L 1-4 at Real Madrid+750
L 2-1 vs Espanyol-130
Alaves
Money Line
L 1-3 at Elche+240
L 1-0 vs Barcelona+400
L 0-4 at Betis+560
T 0-0 vs Athletic Club+330
T 1-1 vs Real Sociedad+350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+140+195+195+195+190+195+207+205.5
Alavés+205+170+165+177+156+165+170+175.2
Draw+215+195+212+212+206+212+212+223.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+150---+150+180+180+205.5
Alavés+190---+155+170+170+175.2
Draw+225---+195+210+210+223.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alavés: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Alavés: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 40.0%
Alavés: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +195 to +185
Alavés ML moved from +162 to +156

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alavés: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Alavés: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 20.0%
Alavés: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Valencia ML
Alavés ML moved from +180 to +170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-128o2-120o2½+145-o2-120o2¼+106o2-114
Underu2¼-102u2+108u2+100u2½-160-u2+100u2½-149u2+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+130o2½+130--o2½+120o2-125o2-125o2-114
Underu2½-150u2½-150--u2½-150u2+105u2½-150u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.17%
Exactly 226.57%
Exactly 411.57%
Exactly 62.02%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.24%
Exactly 320.24%
Exactly 55.29%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 032.46%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.55%
Exactly 37.71%
Exactly 42.17%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 031.33%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 221.10%
Exactly 38.16%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.70%
Exactly 219.44%
Exactly 41.81%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.86%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 059.39%
Exactly 130.94%
Exactly 28.06%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 058.43%
Exactly 131.40%
Exactly 28.44%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals14.05%
Wins by 3+ goals4.32%
Wins by 4+ goals1.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals15.24%
Wins by 3+ goals4.88%
Wins by 4+ goals1.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Alaves
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal20.73%
Wins by 2 goals9.74%
Wins by 3 goals3.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal21.38%
Wins by 2 goals10.36%
Wins by 3 goals3.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.83%10.17%
1.566.59%33.41%
2.540.02%59.98%
3.519.78%80.22%
4.58.21%91.79%
5.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.54%32.46%
1.531.02%68.98%
2.510.47%89.53%
3.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.67%31.33%
1.532.31%67.69%
2.511.21%88.79%
3.53.05%96.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.30%34.70%
1.528.57%71.43%
2.59.14%90.86%
3.52.28%97.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Alaves
Score012345
0
10.17%
11.80%
6.85%
2.65%
0.77%
0.18%
1
11.44%
13.28%
7.71%
2.98%
0.87%
0.20%
2
6.44%
7.47%
4.34%
1.68%
0.49%
0.11%
3
2.41%
2.80%
1.63%
0.63%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.68%
0.79%
0.46%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-011.44%
2-06.44%
2-17.47%
3-02.41%
3-12.80%
3-21.63%
4-00.68%
4-10.79%
4-20.46%
4-30.18%
5-00.15%
5-10.18%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-010.17%
1-113.28%
2-24.34%
3-30.63%
Alaves
0-111.80%
0-26.85%
1-27.71%
0-32.65%
1-32.98%
2-31.68%
0-40.77%
1-40.87%
2-40.49%
3-40.18%
0-50.18%
1-50.20%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Alaves
Score01234
0
34.70%
18.65%
5.01%
0.90%
0.12%
1
18.08%
9.72%
2.61%
0.47%
0.06%
2
4.71%
2.53%
0.68%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.82%
0.44%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Valencia
1-018.08%
2-04.71%
2-12.53%
3-00.82%
3-10.44%
3-20.12%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-034.70%
1-19.72%
2-20.68%
Alaves
0-118.65%
0-25.01%
1-22.61%
0-30.90%
1-30.47%
2-30.12%
0-40.12%