Real Madrid at Atlético Madrid

Updated

Real Madrid

32.5%29.5%38.0%
Real Madrid WinDrawAtlético Madrid Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.13
2Final Score 1

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Mallorca-400
W 1-2 vs Betis-280
W 3-1 at Espanyol-210
W 4-1 at Celta Vigo-160
W 2-1 at Almeria-230
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Celta Vigo-115
T 1-1 at Real Sociedad+165
W 1-0 at Valencia-110
L 2-0 vs Villarreal-115
W 3-0 at Getafe-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+157+141+130+138+135+138+141+154.3
Atlético Madrid+168+218+215+225+210+225+225+222.7
Draw+235+221+230+225+217+225+230+237.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+160---+115+140+140+154.3
Atlético Madrid+175---+185+210+210+222.7
Draw+230---+220+220+220+237.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +132 to +125
Atlético Madrid ML moved from +219 to +212

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +130 to +110
Atlético Madrid ML moved from +200 to +185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½+118o2¼-105o2¼-115-o2¼-115o2¼-105o2½+129
Underu2½-112u2½-140u2¼-115u2¼-105-u2¼-105u2½-140u2½-129
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+120--o2½+105o2½+120o2½+120o2½+129
Underu2½-115u2½-140--u2½-135u2½-140u2½-135u2½-129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-118 to u2¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.68%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 410.34%
Exactly 61.59%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.08%
Exactly 319.27%
Exactly 54.44%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 036.07%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.75%
Exactly 36.37%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 032.39%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.58%
Exactly 37.74%
Exactly 42.18%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.01%
Exactly 218.28%
Exactly 41.51%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.06%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 062.37%
Exactly 129.44%
Exactly 26.95%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 059.33%
Exactly 130.97%
Exactly 28.08%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals12.24%
Wins by 3+ goals3.48%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals15.54%
Wins by 3+ goals4.83%
Wins by 4+ goals1.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal20.20%
Wins by 2 goals8.76%
Wins by 3 goals2.73%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal22.34%
Wins by 2 goals10.71%
Wins by 3 goals3.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.32%11.68%
1.563.23%36.77%
2.536.30%63.70%
3.517.03%82.97%
4.56.69%93.31%
5.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.93%36.07%
1.527.14%72.86%
2.58.39%91.61%
3.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.61%32.39%
1.531.10%68.90%
2.510.52%89.48%
3.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.99%37.01%
1.526.21%73.79%
2.57.92%92.08%
3.51.86%98.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
11.68%
13.17%
7.43%
2.79%
0.79%
0.18%
1
11.91%
13.43%
7.57%
2.85%
0.80%
0.18%
2
6.07%
6.85%
3.86%
1.45%
0.41%
0.09%
3
2.06%
2.33%
1.31%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.53%
0.59%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.12%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-011.91%
2-06.07%
2-16.85%
3-02.06%
3-12.33%
3-21.31%
4-00.53%
4-10.59%
4-20.33%
4-30.13%
5-00.11%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-011.68%
1-113.43%
2-23.86%
3-30.49%
Atletico Madrid
0-113.17%
0-27.43%
1-27.57%
0-32.79%
1-32.85%
2-31.45%
0-40.79%
1-40.80%
2-40.41%
3-40.14%
0-50.18%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Score01234
0
37.01%
19.32%
5.04%
0.88%
0.11%
1
17.47%
9.12%
2.38%
0.41%
0.05%
2
4.12%
2.15%
0.56%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.65%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-017.47%
2-04.12%
2-12.15%
3-00.65%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-037.01%
1-19.12%
2-20.56%
Atletico Madrid
0-119.32%
0-25.04%
1-22.38%
0-30.88%
1-30.41%
0-40.11%