Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Celta Vigo
Oviedo 		44.1%
28.0%		27.8%
+122
+277
+115
+260
1.32
0.99		2.31
o2¼+111
u2¼-123
o2-130
u2½-145
Volatility Bet Value Active
Real Sociedad
Levante 		39.6%
32.4%		28.0%
+148
+207
+140
+225
1.25
1.09		2.34
o2¼-115
u2¼+104
o2½+110
u2½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Alaves
Osasuna 		29.0%
42.0%		29.0%
+275
+131
+275
+125
0.96
1.22		2.18
o1¾-122
u1¾+111
o2+115
u2-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Sevilla
Real Madrid 		6.2%
80.8%		13.0%
+1300
-475
+1250
-540
0.60
2.65		3.25
o3½-114
u3½+102
o3½-110
u3½+100
Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club		17.7%
58.6%		23.7%
+535
-160
+530
-175
2
3		-0.51059-0.50221-0.53403
Celta Vigo
Valencia		28.1%
45.7%		26.1%
+250
+140
+230
+130
0
3		-0.89808-0.88201-0.78268
Elche
Barcelona		4.4%
85.1%		10.5%
+3500
-1215
+2500
-1300
0
3		-0.11027-0.12324-0.16180
Almeria
Mallorca		24.1%
49.2%		26.7%
+360
-102
+350
-110
0
1		-0.70393-0.69894-0.70885
Cadiz
Valladolid		30.1%
40.6%		29.3%
+301
+108
+310
+100
1
0		-1.41276-1.46132-1.20108
Osasuna
Almeria		35.6%
35.1%		29.3%
+160
+200
+155
+200
1
0		-0.98174-0.98305-1.03378
Villarreal
Betis		33.0%
40.9%		26.1%
+145
+204
+140
+190
0
1		-1.14012-1.11480-0.89470
Real Sociedad
Getafe		42.7%
28.5%		28.8%
+102
+342
+105
+315
1
2		-1.51846-1.47320-1.25646
Athletic Club
Elche		41.7%
29.1%		29.2%
-122
+390
-125
+360
4
1		-0.62588-0.63726-0.87548
Mallorca
Real Madrid		5.0%
83.1%		12.0%
+1050
-329
+1000
-400
1
4		-0.28437-0.27403-0.18546
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid		10.2%
71.9%		17.9%
+395
-115
+425
-115
1
4		-0.65212-0.64082-0.33024
Barcelona
Cadiz		70.0%
11.4%		18.6%
-285
+885
-310
+825
4
0		-0.32737-0.32780-0.35619
Sevilla
Espanyol		47.4%
25.1%		27.5%
+197
+160
+180
+165
3
2		-1.11532-1.08028-0.74644
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano		29.8%
42.9%		27.2%
+185
+180
+180
+170
1
2		-1.05478-1.04214-0.84600
Valladolid
Girona		25.5%
47.5%		27.0%
+310
+110
+285
+105
1
2		-0.76301-0.76718-0.74524
Almeria
Valladolid		27.6%
45.0%		27.4%
+228
+135
+230
+125
0
1		-0.87041-0.86022-0.79911
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.19069 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.19660 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.30368
-0.11299
-0.10708

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.