UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+145
-165
+155
-165
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+270
-330
+300
-335
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+450
-600
+462
-550
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-340
+280
-330
+290
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+315
-400
+350
-400
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-112
-105
-105
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+460
-600
+450
-550
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jul 11, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Josh Fremd
Mike Malott		47.5%
52.5%
+107
-115
-105
-110
Win
Loss		-0.74537-0.70441-0.74440
Andre Fialho
Miguel Baeza		34.0%
66.0%
+150
-167
+155
-165
Win
Loss		-0.94143-0.95078-1.07949
Wu Yanan
Mayra Bueno Silva		29.1%
70.9%
+550
-500
+400
-500
Loss
Win		-0.16943-0.21511-0.34355
TJ Laramie
Patrick Sabatini		22.3%
77.7%
+535
-600
+475
-550
Loss
Win		-0.16867-0.18692-0.25193
Denis Tiuliulin
Mounir Lazzez		36.7%
63.3%
+182
-200
+180
-185
Loss
Win		-0.42652-0.43838-0.45703
Devin Clark
William Knight		52.0%
48.0%
-165
+160
-165
+160
Win
Loss		-0.48102-0.48102-0.65429
Lina Lansberg
Pannie Kianzad		32.7%
67.3%
+535
-500
+430
-450
Loss
Win		-0.17309-0.20750-0.39625
Brandon Jenkins
Drakkar Klose		18.2%
81.8%
+550
-580
+450
-550
Loss
Win		-0.16583-0.19464-0.20142
Jesse Ronson
Rafa Garcia		48.9%
51.1%
-140
+140
-140
+140
Loss
Win		-0.87546-0.87546-0.67051
Chris Barnett
Martin Buday		37.8%
62.2%
+287
-335
+280
-300
Loss
Win		-0.28934-0.30075-0.47408
Trey Ogden
Jordan Leavitt		46.3%
53.7%
-145
+127
-140
+125
Loss
Win		-0.85163-0.83833-0.62096
Sam Hughes
Istela Nunes		43.7%
56.3%
+220
-215
+208
-230
Win
Loss		-1.15817-1.14633-0.82752
Kevin Croom
Heili Alateng		34.2%
65.8%
+150
-170
+160
-170
Loss
Win		-0.49182-0.47678-0.41882
Chan Sung Jung
Alexander Volkanovski		19.4%
80.6%
+450
-550
+500
-505
Loss
Win		-0.19464-0.18205-0.21572
Aljamain Sterling
Petr Yan		18.2%
81.8%
+380
-400
+335
-370
Win
Loss		-1.57692-1.48713-1.70287
Gilbert Burns
Khamzat Chimaev		28.0%
72.0%
+425
-500
+475
-535
Loss
Win		-0.20586-0.18766-0.32917
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.