UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 18, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 17, 2025
Fights for Dec 19, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hu Yaozong
Andre Petroski		26.9%
73.1%
+185
-213
+195
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41582-0.40573-0.31326
Allan Nascimento
Tagir Ulanbekov		26.9%
73.1%
+300
-365
+330
-375
Loss
Win		-0.27649-0.25819-0.31326
Paulo Costa
Marvin Vettori		54.1%
45.9%
+170
-181
+170
-175
Loss
Win		-0.45426-0.45869-0.77932
Rick Glenn
Grant Dawson		21.1%
78.9%
+390
-480
+400
-450
Draw
Draw		-0.92041-0.92307-0.89656
Joselyne Edwards
Jessica-Rose Clark		37.4%
62.6%
+140
-145
+140
-145
Loss
Win		-0.53299-0.53299-0.46825
Alex Caceres
SeungWoo Choi		29.7%
70.3%
+230
-230
+230
-225
Win
Loss		-1.19392-1.18925-1.21385
Francisco Trinaldo
Dwight Grant		54.0%
46.0%
-127
+115
-120
+110
Win
Loss		-0.60506-0.62755-0.61617
Ike Villanueva
Nicolae Negumereanu		42.5%
57.5%
+215
-235
+220
-230
Loss
Win		-0.37333-0.37044-0.55415
Gregory Rodrigues
Junyong Park		54.4%
45.6%
-128
+125
-125
+115
Win
Loss		-0.58315-0.60825-0.60901
Jamie Pickett
Laureano Staropoli		36.9%
63.1%
+170
-200
+180
-185
Win
Loss		-1.02963-1.03586-0.99677
Jai Herbert
Khama Worthy		53.8%
46.2%
-151
+155
-165
+160
Win
Loss		-0.50192-0.48102-0.61999
Randa Markos
Livinha Souza		41.4%
58.6%
+110
-115
+115
-120
Win
Loss		-0.75294-0.77596-0.88088
Norma Dumont
Aspen Ladd		29.4%
70.6%
+122
-125
+122
-130
Win
Loss		-0.80350-0.81306-1.22475
Carlos Felipe
Andrei Arlovski		56.9%
43.1%
-110
+110
-115
+102
Loss
Win		-0.74194-0.73260-0.84070
Erick Gonzalez
Jim Miller		31.6%
68.4%
+260
-300
+245
-280
Loss
Win		-0.31508-0.33173-0.37927
Mayra Bueno Silva
Manon Fiorot		36.5%
63.5%
+280
-310
+275
-300
Loss
Win		-0.29866-0.30422-0.45408
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.