UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+145
-165
+155
-165
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+270
-330
+300
-335
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+450
-600
+462
-550
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-340
+280
-330
+290
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+315
-400
+350
-400
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-112
-105
-105
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+460
-600
+450
-550
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jul 11, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tecia Pennington
Mackenzie Dern		54.0%
46.0%
+115
-120
+100
-110
Loss
Win		-0.61667-0.67015-0.77635
Vinc Pichel
Mark Madsen		55.1%
44.9%
-130
+120
-120
+105
Loss
Win		-0.80802-0.75056-0.80022
Darian Weeks
Ian Garry		22.3%
77.7%
+385
-400
+330
-380
Loss
Win		-0.22931-0.25755-0.25193
Josh Fremd
Anthony Hernandez		39.3%
60.7%
+160
-183
+175
-185
Loss
Win		-0.46674-0.44482-0.49979
Aspen Ladd
Raquel Pennington		40.3%
59.7%
+150
-155
+140
-155
Loss
Win		-0.50566-0.52206-0.51549
Mickey Gall
Mike Malott		39.8%
60.2%
+150
-164
+168
-160
Loss
Win		-0.49707-0.47396-0.50710
Jared Vanderaa
Aleksei Oleinik		40.2%
59.8%
-128
+130
-145
+135
Loss
Win		-0.82908-0.87165-0.51401
Chris Daukaus
Curtis Blaydes		24.4%
75.6%
+425
-500
+450
-550
Loss
Win		-0.20586-0.19464-0.28032
Joanne Calderwood
Alexa Grasso		33.9%
66.1%
+240
-280
+245
-250
Loss
Win		-0.33588-0.34060-0.41464
Bryan Barberena
Matt Brown		52.6%
47.4%
-105
-102
-110
-105
Win
Loss		-0.68605-0.68201-0.64268
Kai Kara-France
Askar Askarov		32.6%
67.4%
+335
-420
+385
-400
Win
Loss		-1.50706-1.58514-1.12233
Max Griffin
Neil Magny		40.0%
60.0%
+225
-260
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35489-0.35037-0.51153
Sara McMann
Karol Rosa		40.2%
59.8%
+210
-240
+215
-220
Win
Loss		-1.15948-1.15236-0.91235
Chris Gutierrez
Batgerel Danaa		42.0%
58.0%
+132
-150
+130
-135
Win
Loss		-0.87213-0.84211-0.86693
Denis Tiuliulin
Aliaskhab Khizriev		20.6%
79.4%
+900
-1000
+700
-1000
Loss
Win		-0.10436-0.12883-0.23051
Jennifer Maia
Manon Fiorot		33.7%
66.3%
+390
-470
+380
-450
Loss
Win		-0.22115-0.22684-0.41107
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.