2016-2017 College Football Bowl Projections

College Football Bowl ProjectionsBelow are listed our most updated projections for the college football bowl games. This year, there are a total of 41 bowl games and teams must have a record of 6-6 or better to be eligible for a bowl game. Since there are not enough teams that are eligible to qualify, teams that are 5-7 will be eligible based on which teams have the highest APR.

For our college football bowl projections, we place teams in the bowls using the same criteria that the bowl people use. For a full list of bowl affiliations, 2016-2017 College Football Bowl Tie-Ins For Each Conference is a great reference point. For all of our rankings on each of these teams, go to NCAA FBS Ratings.

It is important to note that these are forward looking projections of the current season. This means that the bowl projections are different than if the season ended today. We look ahead and project match ups in the future to help determine who is most likely to lock in the different bowl slots.

Highest APR for Non-Bowl Eligible Teams

Team APR Wins Losses
North Texas 984 5 7
Texas 971 5 7
Hawaii 971 6 7
Mississippi St 971 5 7
N Illinois 970 5 7
California 960 5 7
Arizona St 960 5 7
Mississippi 958 5 7
Akron 947 5 7
SMU 945 5 7
Texas Tech 941 5 7

Currently, there are eleven teams that do not have at least a .500 winning percentage that is necessary to become automatically bowl eligible. The preceding list is the latest Academic Progress Rate data taken from the NCAA web site. If there are bowl spots left to fill then the top teams on this list will be the first selected to qualify for a bowl game.

BOLD denotes that the team has accepted a bid to the bowl.

Updated on 12/4/2016 @ 10:15pm EST.

College Football Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/17/2016 Camelia Montgomery, AL Toledo Appalachian St
12/17/2016 Cure Orlando, FL UCF Arkansas St
12/17/2016 Las Vegas Las Vegas, NV San Diego St Houston
12/17/2016 New Mexico Albuquerque, NM UT San Antonio New Mexico
12/17/2016 New Orleans New Orleans, LA Southern Miss ULL
12/19/2016 Miami Beach Miami, FL Tulsa C Michigan
12/20/2016 Boca Raton Boca Raton, FL Memphis WKU
12/21/2016 Poinsettia San Diego, CA Wyoming BYU
12/22/2016 Potato Boise, ID Idaho Colorado St
12/23/2016 Dollar General Mobile, AL Ohio Troy
12/23/2016 Bahamas Nassau, BS Old Dominion E Michigan
12/23/2016 Armed Forces Fort Worth, TX Navy Louisiana Tech
12/24/2016 Hawaii Honolulu, HI MTSU Hawaii
12/26/2016 Independence Shreveport, LA NC State Vanderbilt
12/26/2016 St. Petersburg St. Petersburg, FL Miami OH Mississippi St
12/26/2016 Quick Lane Detroit, MI Boston College Maryland
12/27/2016 Heart of Dallas Dallas, TX North Texas Army
12/27/2016 Military Annapolis, MD Wake Forest Temple
12/27/2016 Holiday San Diego, CA Minnesota Washington St
12/27/2016 Cactus Tempe, AZ Baylor Boise St
12/28/2016 Pinstripe New York, NY Pittsburgh Northwestern
12/28/2016 Russell Athletic Orlando, FL Miami FL West Virginia
12/28/2016 Texas Houston, TX Kansas St Texas A&M
12/28/2016 Foster Farms Santa Clara, CA Indiana Utah
12/29/2016 Belk Charlotte, NC Virginia Tech Arkansas
12/29/2016 Birmingham Birmingham, AL South Florida South Carolina
12/29/2016 Alamo San Antonio, TX Oklahoma St Colorado
12/30/2016 Sun El Paso, NM North Carolina Stanford
12/30/2016 Arizona Tucson, AZ South Alabama Air Force
12/30/2016 Music City Nashville, TN Nebraska Tennessee
12/30/2016 Liberty Memphis, TN TCU Georgia
12/31/2016 Citrus Orlando, FL Louisville LSU
12/31/2016 TaxSlayer Jacksonville, FL Georgia Tech Kentucky
1/2/2017 Outback Tampa, FL Iowa Florida

New Year’s Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/30/2016 Orange Miami, FL Florida St Michigan
1/2/2017 Cotton Arlington, TX Wisconsin W Michigan
1/2/2017 Rose Pasadena, CA Penn St USC
1/2/2017 Sugar New Orleans, LA Oklahoma Auburn

The top-rated non Power-5 team is guaranteed a spot in one of the New Year’s big bowls. Currently, we expect that recipient will be Western Michigan as they should go 13-0 on the season.

National Championship Playoff Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/31/2016 Peach Atlanta, GA Alabama Washington
12/31/2016 Fiesta Glendale, AZ Clemson Ohio St

The CFP Selection Committee selects the top four teams to play for the National Championship. This year, the play-in games are the Peach Bowl and the Fiesta Bowl. Our projections have the committee putting Alabama at 1, Clemson at 2, Ohio State at 3 and Washington at 4.

National Championship Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
1/9/2017 Championship Tampa, FL Alabama Ohio St

Our rating system projects that Alabama would be heavily favored against Washington and Ohio State would be slightly favored over Clemson.