2017-2018 College Football Bowl Projections


College Football Bowl ProjectionsBelow are listed our most updated projections for the college football bowl games. This year, there are a total of 40 bowl games and teams must have a record of 6-6 or better to be eligible for a bowl game. Since there are not enough teams that are eligible to qualify, teams that are 5-7 will be eligible based on which teams have the highest APR.

For our college football bowl projections, we place teams in the bowls using the same criteria that the bowl people use. For a full list of bowl affiliations, 2017-2018 College Football Bowl Tie-Ins For Each Conference is a great reference point. For all of our rankings on each of these teams, go to NCAA FBS Ratings.

It is important to note that these are forward looking projections of the current season. This means that the bowl projections are different than if the season ended today. We look ahead and project match ups in the future to help determine who is most likely to lock in the different bowl slots.

BOLD denotes that the team has accepted a bid to the bowl.

Originally published on 8/2/2017.

College Football Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/16/2017 Camelia Montgomery, AL W Michigan Troy
12/16/2017 Cure Orlando, FL SMU Georgia St
12/16/2017 Las Vegas Las Vegas, NV San Diego St Oregon
12/16/2017 New Mexico Albuquerque, NM UT San Antonio Fresno St
12/16/2017 New Orleans New Orleans, LA New Mexico St Marshall
12/19/2017 Boca Raton Boca Raton, FL UCLA* FL Atlantic
12/20/2017 Frisco Frisco, TX Houston MTSU*
12/21/2017 Potato Boise, ID N Illinois Boise St
12/21/2017 Gasparilla St. Petersburg, FL South Florida Southern Miss
12/22/2017 Bahamas Nassau, BS North Texas Toledo
12/23/2017 Dollar General Mobile, AL Ohio Appalachian St
12/23/2017 Armed Forces Fort Worth, TX Army C Michigan*
12/23/2017 Birmingham Birmingham, AL Memphis Mississippi
12/24/2017 Hawaii Honolulu, HI UAB* Colorado St
12/26/2017 Quick Lane Detroit, MI Akron Minnesota
12/26/2017 Heart of Dallas Dallas, TX WKU Utah*
12/26/2017 Military Annapolis, MD Virginia Navy
12/26/2017 Cactus Tempe, AZ Texas Arizona St
12/27/2017 Independence Shreveport, LA Florida Intl Utah St
12/27/2017 Holiday San Diego, CA Northwestern Washington St
12/27/2017 Pinstripe New York, NY Boston College Iowa
12/27/2017 Texas Houston, TX West Virginia Texas A&M
12/27/2017 Foster Farms Santa Clara, CA Indiana Stanford
12/28/2017 Camping World Orlando, FL Virginia Tech Iowa St
12/28/2017 Alamo San Antonio, TX TCU Washington
12/29/2017 Belk Charlotte, NC NC State Auburn
12/29/2017 Sun El Paso, NM Louisville Arizona
12/29/2017 Music City Nashville, TN Georgia Tech South Carolina
12/30/2017 Arizona Tucson, AZ Arkansas St Wyoming
12/30/2017 Liberty Memphis, TN Texas Tech Missouri
12/30/2017 TaxSlayer Jacksonville, FL Wake Forest Kentucky
1/1/2018 Citrus Orlando, FL Michigan Mississippi St
1/1/2018 Outback Tampa, FL Michigan St LSU

New Year’s Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/29/2017 Cotton Arlington, TX Ohio St UCF
12/30/2017 Orange Miami, FL Miami FL Penn St
12/30/2017 Fiesta Glendale, AZ USC Georgia
1/1/2018 Peach Atlanta, GA Oklahoma St Notre Dame

The top-rated non Power-5 team is guaranteed a spot in one of the New Year’s big bowls. Currently, we expect that recipient will be the UCF Knights.

National Championship Playoff Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
1/1/2018 Rose Pasadena, CA Wisconsin Alabama
1/1/2018 Sugar New Orleans, LA Clemson Oklahoma

The CFP Selection Committee selects the top four teams to play for the National Championship. This year, the play-in games are the Rose Bowl and the Sugar Bowl. Even though we are nearing the end of the season, there are many different scenarios that can play out here. Our projections have the committee putting Alabama at 1, Clemson at 2, Oklahoma at 3 and Wisconsin at 4.

National Championship Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
1/8/2018 Championship Atlanta, GA Alabama Clemson

Our rating system projects that Alabama would be favored against Wisconsin and Clemson would be favored over Oklahoma, thus pitting Alabama vs. Clemson in a National Championship rematch.