Sao Paulo at Gremio

Updated

Sao Paulo

35.1%29.7%35.2%
Sao Paulo WinDrawGremio Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.06
0Final Score 3

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Sport Recife-185
T 0-0 vs Athletico Paranaense-115
W 2-0 at Palmeiras+255
L 4-0 vs Flamengo+170
T 1-1 at Fortaleza+190
Gremio
Money Line
L 1-3 at Bahia+165
T 2-2 vs Flamengo-105
W 3-1 at Chapecoense-190
W 0-3 vs Bragantino-185
L 1-3 at America (MG)+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+205+230+230--+230+230+279.1
Gremio+140+140+126--+126+140+127.2
Draw+215+210+200--+200+210+237.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+210----+230+230+279.1
Gremio+140----+135+135+127.2
Draw+220----+210+210+237.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Gremio: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 30.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Gremio: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105o2-124o2¼+101o2-133-o2¼+101o2-124o2¼+110
Underu2¼-125u2+110u2¼-121u2+118-u2¼-121u2¼-121u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+110
Under-----u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.9%
 
No57.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.91%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 410.17%
Exactly 61.54%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.34%
Exactly 319.12%
Exactly 54.33%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 034.53%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 41.84%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 034.49%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.54%
Exactly 36.93%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.33%
Exactly 218.12%
Exactly 41.47%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.95%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 061.12%
Exactly 130.09%
Exactly 27.41%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 061.09%
Exactly 130.11%
Exactly 27.42%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals13.71%
Wins by 3+ goals4.05%
Wins by 4+ goals0.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals13.75%
Wins by 3+ goals4.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Gremio
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal21.32%
Wins by 2 goals9.66%
Wins by 3 goals3.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal21.34%
Wins by 2 goals9.68%
Wins by 3 goals3.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.09%11.91%
1.562.75%37.25%
2.535.79%64.21%
3.516.67%83.33%
4.56.49%93.51%
5.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.47%34.53%
1.528.76%71.24%
2.59.23%90.77%
3.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.51%34.49%
1.528.80%71.20%
2.59.25%90.75%
3.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.67%37.33%
1.525.88%74.12%
2.57.76%92.24%
3.51.81%98.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Gremio
Score012345
0
11.91%
12.68%
6.75%
2.39%
0.64%
0.14%
1
12.66%
13.48%
7.18%
2.55%
0.68%
0.14%
2
6.73%
7.17%
3.82%
1.35%
0.36%
0.08%
3
2.39%
2.54%
1.35%
0.48%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.63%
0.68%
0.36%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-012.66%
2-06.73%
2-17.17%
3-02.39%
3-12.54%
3-21.35%
4-00.63%
4-10.68%
4-20.36%
4-30.13%
5-00.13%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-011.91%
1-113.48%
2-23.82%
3-30.48%
Gremio
0-112.68%
0-26.75%
1-27.18%
0-32.39%
1-32.55%
2-31.35%
0-40.64%
1-40.68%
2-40.36%
3-40.13%
0-50.14%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Gremio
Score0123
0
37.33%
18.40%
4.53%
0.75%
1
18.38%
9.06%
2.23%
0.37%
2
4.53%
2.23%
0.55%
0.09%
3
0.74%
0.37%
0.09%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-018.38%
2-04.53%
2-12.23%
3-00.74%
3-10.37%
Draw
0-037.33%
1-19.06%
2-20.55%
Gremio
0-118.40%
0-24.53%
1-22.23%
0-30.75%
1-30.37%