Brazil Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedCriciuma
Gremio 		9.1%
73.6%		17.3%
+432
-153

0.63
2.21		2.84


Games for May 4, 2024
Games for May 6, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vasco da Gama
Bragantino		16.8%
60.3%		23.0%
+311
-105

1
2		-0.70556-0.50619
Athletico Paranaense
Gremio		20.3%
54.4%		25.3%
+178
+168

0
2		-1.01669-0.60824
Fluminense
Bahia		30.0%
41.6%		28.4%
+255
+116

1
2		-0.80002-0.87798
Palmeiras
Vitoria		56.5%
19.5%		24.1%
+110
+300

1
0		-0.76205-0.57169
Botafogo RJ
Cruzeiro		31.2%
36.1%		32.7%
+262
+123

2
3		-0.83945-1.01874
Gremio
Vasco da Gama		34.3%
35.6%		30.0%
+262
+126

1
2		-0.83688-1.03223
Atletico Mineiro
Corinthians		34.5%
34.8%		30.7%
+200
+164

0
0		-1.15433-1.17987
Cuiaba
Athletico Paranaense		21.8%
50.1%		28.1%
+552
-160

0
4		-0.51361-0.69115
Flamengo
Atletico Goianiense		41.5%
30.4%		28.1%
-135
+405

2
1		-0.59135-0.88056
Bragantino
Fluminense		23.6%
50.4%		26.0%
+423
-124

2
2		-1.30320-1.34715
Fortaleza
Sao Paulo		22.2%
51.4%		26.4%
+380
-109

2
1		-1.59234-1.50418
Juventude
Criciuma		23.1%
48.8%		28.2%
+310
+118

1
1		-1.14964-1.26759
Bahia
Internacional		18.3%
57.8%		23.9%
+357
-110

1
2		-0.66684-0.54851
Flamengo
Sao Paulo		27.6%
45.6%		26.8%
+122
+250

0
1		-1.28262-0.78559
Atletico Mineiro
Bahia		39.3%
32.2%		28.5%
+180
+159

1
4		-0.98019-1.13386
Gremio
Fluminense		21.0%
53.9%		25.1%
+232
+112

3
2		-1.23210-1.56208
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks43-1-0 (0.750)0-0.82342 
Sportsbooks40-0-0 (0.500)4 
DRatings43-1-0 (0.750)0-0.95177
-0.12836

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Brazilian Serie A soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.