Brazil Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 11, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coritiba
Chapecoense 		26.6%
44.4%		28.9%
+205
+155

0.90
1.25		2.15
o2-115
u2+105

Cruzeiro
Mirassol 		31.5%
35.7%		32.8%
+230
+143

0.87
0.94		1.81
o2¼-112
u2¼-105

Gremio
Sao Paulo 		22.3%
52.0%		25.7%
+330
+108

0.91
1.54		2.45
o2¼-115
u2¼-102

Bahia
Vasco da Gama 		24.9%
47.5%		27.5%
+243
+128

0.92
1.37		2.29
o2½-114
u2½-105

Games for Feb 10, 2026
Games for Feb 12, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sao Paulo
America (MG)		41.4%
29.6%		29.1%
+324
+100
+305
+100
0
2		-0.72017-0.74188-1.21804
Chapecoense
Fluminense		16.4%
66.1%		17.5%
+1576
-500
+1600
-550
0
3		-0.21874-0.21778-0.41400
Ceara
Palmeiras		22.7%
54.7%		22.6%
-114
+317
-120
+315
0
1		-1.46296-1.47486-0.60272
Cuiaba
Santos		23.9%
52.1%		24.0%
+333
+112
+350
+100
1
1		-1.17600-1.16402-1.42762
Sport Recife
Chapecoense		34.8%
33.0%		32.3%
+150
+215
+145
+205
1
0		-0.95355-0.94348-1.05598
Fortaleza
Cuiaba		38.8%
31.1%		30.2%
+314
+117
+295
+115
0
1		-0.79837-0.81579-1.16873
Santos
Flamengo		16.2%
71.5%		12.3%
+525
-190
+485
-200
1
0		-1.85796-1.81775-1.81812
Atletico Goianiense
Internacional		23.5%
52.1%		24.4%
+590
-175
+600
-200
2
1		-1.96169-1.99517-1.44936
Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense		34.0%
34.3%		31.7%
+763
-227
+550
-210
0
0		-1.54628-1.57359-1.14933
Juventude
Sao Paulo		16.9%
65.2%		18.0%
+547
-154
+475
-145
1
3		-0.53536-0.57471-0.42777
America (MG)
Ceara		24.7%
49.7%		25.6%
+285
+115
+280
+115
0
0		-1.22571-1.18101-1.36223
Fluminense
Bahia		35.8%
34.7%		29.5%
+320
+109
+310
+105
0
2		-0.75747-0.76585-1.05866
Bragantino
Atletico Mineiro		25.2%
51.6%		23.2%
+315
-101
+290
+100
3
4		-0.71380-0.74244-0.66101
Gremio
Corinthians		27.4%
46.0%		26.6%
+215
+135
+210
+130
1
1		-1.20608-1.27397-1.32324
Juventude
Fortaleza		20.0%
58.5%		21.5%
+430
-127
+425
-135
0
1		-0.61017-0.60373-0.53614
Atletico Goianiense
Chapecoense		42.7%
28.0%		29.3%
+120
+296

0
0		-1.22912-1.22765
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55198 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.64930
-0.09732

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Brazilian Serie A soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.