Brazil Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 11, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coritiba
Chapecoense 		26.6%
44.4%		28.9%
+205
+155

0.90
1.25		2.15
o2-115
u2+105

Cruzeiro
Mirassol 		31.5%
35.7%		32.8%
+230
+143

0.87
0.94		1.81
o2¼-112
u2¼-105

Gremio
Sao Paulo 		22.3%
52.0%		25.7%
+330
+108

0.91
1.54		2.45
o2¼-115
u2¼-102

Bahia
Vasco da Gama 		24.9%
47.5%		27.5%
+243
+128

0.92
1.37		2.29
o2½-114
u2½-105

Games for Feb 10, 2026
Games for Feb 12, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Flamengo
Sport Recife		60.0%
21.1%		18.9%
-130
+370
-140
+365
1
1		-1.38314-1.41432-1.66633
Cuiaba
Athletico Paranaense		20.8%
55.3%		23.9%
+516
-131
+495
-135
0
1		-0.59479-0.60789-0.59169
Sao Paulo
Gremio		35.1%
35.2%		29.7%
+230
+140
+230
+135
0
3		-0.91687-0.90429-1.04532
Atletico Mineiro
Bahia		49.2%
26.8%		24.0%
+106
+331
+105
+300
3
2		-0.74570-0.76692-0.70928
Palmeiras
Cuiaba		47.1%
26.4%		26.5%
+430
-128
+400
-130
3
1		-1.70766-1.65910-0.75377
Chapecoense
America (MG)		21.2%
55.2%		23.6%
+1187
-345
+1000
-360
0
3		-0.28498-0.29590-0.59502
Ceara
Flamengo		17.1%
69.0%		13.8%
+668
-215
+600
-230
1
2		-0.40935-0.41228-0.37059
Bragantino
Juventude		46.0%
27.0%		27.0%
+232
+153
+245
+130
0
1		-0.95225-0.88409-1.30833
Bahia
Atletico Goianiense		26.0%
48.3%		25.8%
+212
+161
+195
+155
1
2		-0.98323-0.98840-0.72788
Santos
Internacional		23.5%
53.5%		23.0%
+556
-170
+510
-175
1
1		-1.44219-1.43536-1.47172
Fluminense
Atletico Mineiro		22.0%
57.6%		20.4%
+894
-260
+725
-240
1
2		-0.35823-0.39644-0.55182
Athletico Paranaense
Corinthians		27.7%
42.6%		29.6%
+330
+105
+300
+110
0
1		-0.77549-0.78955-0.85278
Sport Recife
Sao Paulo		18.1%
62.2%		19.7%
+600
-195
+575
-185
0
2		-0.46944-0.48133-0.47469
America (MG)
Bragantino		20.1%
58.8%		21.1%
+320
+100
+320
-110
1
1		-1.25966-1.28884-1.55732
Gremio
Bahia		34.4%
36.9%		28.7%
+197
+175
+165
+170
1
3		-1.02728-1.04276-0.99758
Corinthians
Ceara		31.0%
39.3%		29.7%
+235
+140
+205
+150
1
2		-0.91762-0.96551-0.93369
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55198 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.64930
-0.09732

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Brazilian Serie A soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.