Chelsea at Atalanta

Updated

Chelsea

35.6%27.1%37.2%
Chelsea WinDrawAtalanta Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.25

Atalanta

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Barcelona+123
T 2-2 at Qarabag-315
W 1-5 vs Ajax-300
W 0-1 vs Benfica-146
L 1-3 at Bayern Munich+350
Atalanta
Money Line
W 3-0 at Eintracht Frankfurt+150
W 1-0 at Marseille+210
T 0-0 vs Slavia Prague-270
W 1-2 vs Club Brugge-120
L 0-4 at Paris Saint-Germain+660

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+103+111+109+110+110+110+111+122.8
Atalanta+240+230+230+230+230+230+230+250.1
Draw+265+260+260+255+255+255+260+276.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-----+122.8
Atalanta-----+250.1
Draw-----+276.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Atalanta: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chelsea ML
Atalanta ML moved from +245 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-116o2¾-114o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-114o2¾-104
Underu2¾-104u2¾-104u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-104u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.40%
Exactly 225.77%
Exactly 413.18%
Exactly 62.70%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.80%
Exactly 321.28%
Exactly 56.53%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 029.45%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.01%
Exactly 38.97%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 028.51%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 222.45%
Exactly 39.39%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.76%
Exactly 220.89%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.99%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 056.78%
Exactly 132.14%
Exactly 29.10%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 055.93%
Exactly 132.50%
Exactly 29.44%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals15.20%
Wins by 3+ goals5.03%
Wins by 4+ goals1.33%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%
Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals16.20%
Wins by 3+ goals5.49%
Wins by 4+ goals1.49%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Atalanta
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal20.43%
Wins by 2 goals10.17%
Wins by 3 goals3.70%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal20.97%
Wins by 2 goals10.71%
Wins by 3 goals4.00%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.60%8.40%
1.570.81%29.19%
2.545.04%54.96%
3.523.76%76.24%
4.510.58%89.42%
5.54.05%95.95%
6.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.55%29.45%
1.534.55%65.45%
2.512.54%87.46%
3.53.58%96.42%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.49%28.51%
1.535.71%64.29%
2.513.26%86.74%
3.53.87%96.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.24%31.76%
1.531.82%68.18%
2.510.92%89.08%
3.52.94%97.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Atalanta
Score012345
0
8.40%
10.54%
6.61%
2.77%
0.87%
0.22%
1
10.26%
12.88%
8.08%
3.38%
1.06%
0.27%
2
6.27%
7.87%
4.94%
2.07%
0.65%
0.16%
3
2.56%
3.21%
2.01%
0.84%
0.26%
0.07%
4
0.78%
0.98%
0.62%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.19%
0.24%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-010.26%
2-06.27%
2-17.87%
3-02.56%
3-13.21%
3-22.01%
4-00.78%
4-10.98%
4-20.62%
4-30.26%
5-00.19%
5-10.24%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-08.40%
1-112.88%
2-24.94%
3-30.84%
Atalanta
0-110.54%
0-26.61%
1-28.08%
0-32.77%
1-33.38%
2-32.07%
0-40.87%
1-41.06%
2-40.65%
3-40.26%
0-50.22%
1-50.27%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Atalanta
Score01234
0
31.76%
18.45%
5.36%
1.04%
0.15%
1
17.98%
10.44%
3.03%
0.59%
0.09%
2
5.09%
2.96%
0.86%
0.17%
0.02%
3
0.96%
0.56%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.14%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-017.98%
2-05.09%
2-12.96%
3-00.96%
3-10.56%
3-20.16%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-031.76%
1-110.44%
2-20.86%
Atalanta
0-118.45%
0-25.36%
1-23.03%
0-31.04%
1-30.59%
2-30.17%
0-40.15%