Chelsea at Real Madrid

Updated

Chelsea

31.6%28.1%40.3%
Chelsea WinDrawReal Madrid Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.25
3Final Score 2

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Real Madrid+110
W 2-1 at Lille+100
W 0-2 vs Lille-325
T 3-3 at Zenit-185
W 0-4 vs Juventus-165
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 3-1 at Chelsea+270
W 1-3 vs Paris Saint-Germain+150
L 0-1 at Paris Saint-Germain+300
W 0-2 vs Inter+140
W 1-2 vs Shakhtar-525

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+188+150+150+157+150+150+157+162.9
Real Madrid+138+170+175+179+161+175+179+182.8
Draw+243+250+270+266+254+270+270+276.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+190-+148-+165+155+165+162.9
Real Madrid+140-+169-+125+170+170+182.8
Draw+250-+264-+230+250+264+276.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +156 to +150
Real Madrid ML moved from +138 to +132

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +158 to +151
No Steam Moves On Real Madrid ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2¾-118o2¾-115o2½-141-o2¾-115o2½-141o2½-133
Underu2½-105u2¾-102u2¾-101u2½+126-u2¾-101u2¾-101u2½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-150o2½-145-o2½-155o2½-145o2½-145o2½-133
Underu2½+100u2½+130u2½+125-u2½+125u2½+125u2½+130u2½+133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.84%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 411.86%
Exactly 62.13%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.81%
Exactly 320.45%
Exactly 55.50%
Exactly 70.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 034.29%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.64%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 028.68%
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 222.37%
Exactly 39.31%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.17%
Exactly 219.70%
Exactly 41.89%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.05%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 060.92%
Exactly 130.19%
Exactly 27.48%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 056.09%
Exactly 132.43%
Exactly 29.38%
Exactly 31.81%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals12.17%
Wins by 3+ goals3.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals17.77%
Wins by 3+ goals6.06%
Wins by 4+ goals1.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Real Madrid
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal19.32%
Wins by 2 goals8.60%
Wins by 3 goals2.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal22.54%
Wins by 2 goals11.71%
Wins by 3 goals4.41%
Wins by 4 goals1.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.16%9.84%
1.567.36%32.64%
2.540.91%59.09%
3.520.46%79.54%
4.58.60%91.40%
5.53.10%96.90%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.71%34.29%
1.529.01%70.99%
2.59.37%90.63%
3.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.32%28.68%
1.535.49%64.51%
2.513.13%86.87%
3.53.82%96.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.83%34.17%
1.529.14%70.86%
2.59.44%90.56%
3.52.39%97.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
9.84%
12.28%
7.67%
3.19%
1.00%
0.25%
1
10.53%
13.15%
8.21%
3.42%
1.07%
0.27%
2
5.63%
7.04%
4.39%
1.83%
0.57%
0.14%
3
2.01%
2.51%
1.57%
0.65%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.54%
0.67%
0.42%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-010.53%
2-05.63%
2-17.04%
3-02.01%
3-12.51%
3-21.57%
4-00.54%
4-10.67%
4-20.42%
4-30.17%
5-00.12%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.84%
1-113.15%
2-24.39%
3-30.65%
Real Madrid
0-112.28%
0-27.67%
1-28.21%
0-33.19%
1-33.42%
2-31.83%
0-41.00%
1-41.07%
2-40.57%
3-40.20%
0-50.25%
1-50.27%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Real Madrid
Score01234
0
34.17%
19.76%
5.71%
1.10%
0.16%
1
16.93%
9.79%
2.83%
0.55%
0.08%
2
4.20%
2.43%
0.70%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.69%
0.40%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-016.93%
2-04.20%
2-12.43%
3-00.69%
3-10.40%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-034.17%
1-19.79%
2-20.70%
Real Madrid
0-119.76%
0-25.71%
1-22.83%
0-31.10%
1-30.55%
2-30.14%
0-40.16%