Villarreal at Dortmund

Updated

Villarreal

16.9%19.5%63.6%
WinDrawDortmund Win
1.05Projected Goals 2.20
0Final Score 4

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Manchester City+375
T 2-2 vs Juventus+130
L 0-1 at Tottenham+310
L 3-2 vs Liverpool+375
L 0-2 at Liverpool+975
Dortmund
Money Line
L 1-4 at Manchester City+690
W 4-2 at FC Copenhagen-125
W 1-4 vs Athletic Club-130
T 4-4 at Juventus+310
W 1-3 vs Barcelona+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+340-+275+307+307+307+307+321.0
Dortmund-138--103-107-107-107-103+100.1
Draw+295-+255+268+268+268+268+280.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+322-+282+285+300+285+300+321.0
Dortmund-127--108-120-135-105-105+100.1
Draw+283-+267+270+265+260+270+280.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Dortmund: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +285 to +275
Dortmund ML moved from -114 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Dortmund: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +300 to +285
No Steam Moves On Dortmund ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-113-o2¾-108o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-108o2¾-104
Underu2¾-107-u2¾-112u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o3+115o2½-135o3+115o2½-145o2½-140o2½-135o2¾-104
Underu2½+115u3-135u2½+115u3-135u2½+115u2½+120u3-135u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-130 to u2½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.8%
 
No42.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.87%
Exactly 220.46%
Exactly 418.03%
Exactly 66.36%
Exactly 81.20%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.59%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 511.73%
Exactly 72.95%
Exactly 90.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 035.09%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.24%
Exactly 36.72%
Exactly 41.76%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 011.03%
Exactly 124.32%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 319.70%
Exactly 410.86%
Exactly 54.79%
Exactly 61.76%
Exactly 70.55%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.19%
Exactly 225.15%
Exactly 44.75%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.41%
Exactly 312.62%
Exactly 51.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 061.58%
Exactly 129.86%
Exactly 27.24%
Exactly 31.17%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 036.03%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.77%
Exactly 36.39%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals5.89%
Wins by 3+ goals1.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals40.58%
Wins by 3+ goals21.49%
Wins by 4+ goals9.54%
Wins by 5+ goals3.60%
Wins by 6+ goals1.15%
Wins by 7+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Dortmund
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal10.92%
Wins by 2 goals4.30%
Wins by 3 goals1.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal22.99%
Wins by 2 goals19.09%
Wins by 3 goals11.95%
Wins by 4 goals5.95%
Wins by 5 goals2.44%
Wins by 6 goals0.85%
Wins by 7 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.13%3.87%
1.583.54%16.46%
2.563.08%36.92%
3.540.90%59.10%
4.522.87%77.13%
5.511.14%88.86%
6.54.78%95.22%
7.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.91%35.09%
1.528.16%71.84%
2.58.92%91.08%
3.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.97%11.03%
1.564.65%35.35%
2.537.85%62.15%
3.518.15%81.85%
4.57.30%92.70%
5.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.81%22.19%
1.544.41%55.59%
2.519.26%80.74%
3.56.63%93.37%
4.51.88%98.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Dortmund
Score012345
0
3.87%
8.53%
9.40%
6.91%
3.81%
1.68%
1
4.05%
8.94%
9.85%
7.24%
3.99%
1.76%
2
2.12%
4.68%
5.16%
3.79%
2.09%
0.92%
3
0.74%
1.63%
1.80%
1.32%
0.73%
0.32%
4
0.19%
0.43%
0.47%
0.35%
0.19%
0.08%
Villarreal
1-04.05%
2-02.12%
2-14.68%
3-00.74%
3-11.63%
3-21.80%
4-00.19%
4-10.43%
4-20.47%
4-30.35%
Draw
0-03.87%
1-18.94%
2-25.16%
3-31.32%
4-40.19%
Dortmund
0-18.53%
0-29.40%
1-29.85%
0-36.91%
1-37.24%
2-33.79%
0-43.81%
1-43.99%
2-42.09%
3-40.73%
0-51.68%
1-51.76%
2-50.92%
3-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Dortmund
Score012345
0
22.19%
22.65%
11.56%
3.93%
1.00%
0.20%
1
10.76%
10.98%
5.60%
1.91%
0.49%
0.10%
2
2.61%
2.66%
1.36%
0.46%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.42%
0.43%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-010.76%
2-02.61%
2-12.66%
3-00.42%
3-10.43%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-022.19%
1-110.98%
2-21.36%
Dortmund
0-122.65%
0-211.56%
1-25.60%
0-33.93%
1-31.91%
2-30.46%
0-41.00%
1-40.49%
2-40.12%
0-50.20%