Manchester City at Atlético Madrid

Updated

Manchester City

52.4%25.4%22.2%
Manchester City WinDrawAtlético Madrid Win
1.57Projected Goals 0.92
0Final Score 0

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Atletico Madrid-325
T 0-0 vs Sporting CP-500
W 5-0 at Sporting CP-310
L 1-2 at RB Leipzig-136
W 1-2 vs Paris Saint-Germain-195
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 0-1 at Manchester City+1100
W 1-0 at Manchester United+275
T 1-1 vs Manchester United+186
W 3-1 at Porto+160
L 1-0 vs Milan-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-108-130-130-124-137-126-124-119.4
Atlético Madrid+285+380+400+408+397+385+408+416.4
Draw+256+255+270+267+258+270+270+281.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-130--132--155-140-132-119.4
Atlético Madrid+380-+380-+350+410+410+416.4
Draw+260-+267-+240+270+270+281.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -131 to -139
Atlético Madrid ML moved from +390 to +380

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -131 to -138
Atlético Madrid ML moved from +390 to +380

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2¼-105o2¼-106o2½+122-o2¼-106o2¼-105o2½+128
Underu2½-115u2¼-115u2¼-110u2½-137-u2¼-110u2½-137u2½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+120o2½+125-o2½-105o2½+120o2½+125o2½+128
Underu2½-125u2½-140u2½-145-u2½-125u2½-140u2½-125u2½-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.31%
Exactly 225.72%
Exactly 413.26%
Exactly 62.73%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.68%
Exactly 321.32%
Exactly 56.59%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 020.88%
Exactly 132.71%
Exactly 225.61%
Exactly 313.37%
Exactly 45.24%
Exactly 51.64%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 039.81%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.88%
Exactly 35.18%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.61%
Exactly 220.96%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 38.05%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 048.42%
Exactly 135.12%
Exactly 212.73%
Exactly 33.08%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 065.29%
Exactly 127.84%
Exactly 25.93%
Exactly 30.84%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals27.36%
Wins by 3+ goals11.28%
Wins by 4+ goals3.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.98%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals7.45%
Wins by 3+ goals1.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.96%
Wins by 2 goals16.08%
Wins by 3 goals7.54%
Wins by 4 goals2.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.81%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal14.68%
Wins by 2 goals5.56%
Wins by 3 goals1.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.69%8.31%
1.571.01%28.99%
2.545.29%54.71%
3.523.97%76.03%
4.510.71%89.29%
5.54.12%95.88%
6.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.12%20.88%
1.546.41%53.59%
2.520.79%79.21%
3.57.42%92.58%
4.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.19%39.81%
1.523.52%76.48%
2.56.63%93.37%
3.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.39%31.61%
1.531.98%68.02%
2.511.02%88.98%
3.52.97%97.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
Score01234
0
8.31%
7.66%
3.53%
1.08%
0.25%
1
13.02%
11.99%
5.52%
1.70%
0.39%
2
10.20%
9.39%
4.32%
1.33%
0.31%
3
5.32%
4.90%
2.26%
0.69%
0.16%
4
2.08%
1.92%
0.88%
0.27%
0.06%
5
0.65%
0.60%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
Manchester City
1-013.02%
2-010.20%
2-19.39%
3-05.32%
3-14.90%
3-22.26%
4-02.08%
4-11.92%
4-20.88%
4-30.27%
5-00.65%
5-10.60%
5-20.28%
Draw
0-08.31%
1-111.99%
2-24.32%
3-30.69%
Atletico Madrid
0-17.66%
0-23.53%
1-25.52%
0-31.08%
1-31.70%
2-31.33%
0-40.25%
1-40.39%
2-40.31%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
Score0123
0
31.61%
13.48%
2.87%
0.41%
1
22.93%
9.78%
2.08%
0.30%
2
8.31%
3.54%
0.76%
0.11%
3
2.01%
0.86%
0.18%
0.03%
4
0.36%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-022.93%
2-08.31%
2-13.54%
3-02.01%
3-10.86%
3-20.18%
4-00.36%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-031.61%
1-19.78%
2-20.76%
Atletico Madrid
0-113.48%
0-22.87%
1-22.08%
0-30.41%
1-30.30%
2-30.11%