Milan at Chelsea

Updated

Milan

10.5%17.0%72.5%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.33
0Final Score 3

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Dinamo Zagreb-325
T 1-1 at RB Salzburg+100
L 2-1 vs Liverpool+130
W 1-0 at Atletico Madrid+467
T 1-1 vs Porto-103
Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 vs RB Salzburg-330
L 0-1 at Dinamo Zagreb-250
W 3-2 at Real Madrid+165
L 3-1 vs Real Madrid+110
W 2-1 at Lille+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+350-+370+380+397+380+397+418.0
Chelsea-130--135-130-144-130-130-122.9
Draw+265-+285+281+273+281+285+291.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+375-+394-+335+400+400+418.0
Chelsea-140--140--165-140-140-122.9
Draw+290-+275-+260+275+275+291.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Chelsea: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +380 to +370
Chelsea ML moved from -140 to -148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Chelsea: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +350 to +335
Chelsea ML moved from -140 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118-o2½-108o2½-102-o2½-102o2½-102o2½+103
Underu2½-102-u2½-112u2½-118-u2½-118u2½-112u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+100o2½-102-o2½-105o2½+100o2½+100o2½+103
Underu2½-105u2½-120u2½-118-u2½-125u2½-120u2½-118u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.1%
 
No51.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.56%
Exactly 221.74%
Exactly 417.28%
Exactly 65.49%
Exactly 80.94%
 
Exactly 114.08%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.67%
Exactly 72.42%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 046.68%
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 213.55%
Exactly 33.44%
Exactly 40.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 09.76%
Exactly 122.72%
Exactly 226.42%
Exactly 320.49%
Exactly 411.92%
Exactly 55.55%
Exactly 62.15%
Exactly 70.71%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.93%
Exactly 224.47%
Exactly 44.17%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.22%
Exactly 311.66%
Exactly 51.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 070.28%
Exactly 124.79%
Exactly 24.37%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 034.06%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.76%
Exactly 37.09%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals2.83%
Wins by 3+ goals0.55%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals49.18%
Wins by 3+ goals27.73%
Wins by 4+ goals13.10%
Wins by 5+ goals5.25%
Wins by 6+ goals1.79%
Wins by 7+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Chelsea
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Milan
Wins by 1 goal7.59%
Wins by 2 goals2.28%
Wins by 3 goals0.48%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.22%
Wins by 2 goals21.44%
Wins by 3 goals14.63%
Wins by 4 goals7.85%
Wins by 5 goals3.46%
Wins by 6 goals1.29%
Wins by 7 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.44%4.56%
1.581.37%18.63%
2.559.63%40.37%
3.537.25%62.75%
4.519.98%80.02%
5.59.31%90.69%
6.53.82%96.18%
7.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.32%46.68%
1.517.76%82.24%
2.54.21%95.79%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.24%9.76%
1.567.52%32.48%
2.541.10%58.90%
3.520.61%79.39%
4.58.69%91.31%
5.53.14%96.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.07%23.93%
1.541.84%58.16%
2.517.38%82.62%
3.55.72%94.28%
4.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Chelsea
Score012345
0
4.56%
10.60%
12.33%
9.57%
5.56%
2.59%
1
3.47%
8.08%
9.40%
7.29%
4.24%
1.97%
2
1.32%
3.08%
3.58%
2.78%
1.61%
0.75%
3
0.34%
0.78%
0.91%
0.70%
0.41%
0.19%
Milan
1-03.47%
2-01.32%
2-13.08%
3-00.34%
3-10.78%
3-20.91%
Draw
0-04.56%
1-18.08%
2-23.58%
3-30.70%
Chelsea
0-110.60%
0-212.33%
1-29.40%
0-39.57%
1-37.29%
2-32.78%
0-45.56%
1-44.24%
2-41.61%
3-40.41%
0-52.59%
1-51.97%
2-50.75%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Chelsea
Score012345
0
23.93%
25.78%
13.88%
4.99%
1.34%
0.29%
1
8.44%
9.09%
4.90%
1.76%
0.47%
0.10%
2
1.49%
1.60%
0.86%
0.31%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.18%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-08.44%
2-01.49%
2-11.60%
3-00.18%
3-10.19%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-023.93%
1-19.09%
2-20.86%
Chelsea
0-125.78%
0-213.88%
1-24.90%
0-34.99%
1-31.76%
2-30.31%
0-41.34%
1-40.47%
0-50.29%
1-50.10%