Sevilla at Dortmund

Updated

Sevilla

18.0%21.5%60.5%
WinDrawDortmund Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.96
1Final Score 1

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Sevilla
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Dortmund+210
T 0-0 at FC Copenhagen+129
L 4-0 vs Manchester City+900
L 0-1 at RB Salzburg+162
W 0-2 vs Wolfsburg-130
Dortmund
Money Line
W 4-1 at Sevilla+130
L 1-2 at Manchester City+1250
W 0-3 vs FC Copenhagen-325
W 0-5 vs Besiktas-450
L 1-3 at Sporting CP+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+420-+600+645+458+645+645+662.7
Dortmund-165--265-240-185-240-185-221.2
Draw+310-+420+415+330+415+420+454.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+485-+610-+575+625+625+662.7
Dortmund-185--245--300-250-245-221.2
Draw+335-+396-+330+410+410+454.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 30.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Dortmund: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +600 to +575
Dortmund ML moved from -250 to -260

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 30.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +565 to +550
Dortmund ML moved from -275 to -300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105-o3¼+102o3¼-105-o3¼-105o3¼+102o3-113
Underu2¾-115-u3¼-122u3¼-115-u3¼-115u3¼-115u3+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o3-130o3-120-o3-130o3-120o3-120o3-113
Underu2½+125u3+110u3+100-u3+100u3+100u3+110u3+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-110 to o3-130
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.2%
 
No46.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.37%
Exactly 222.96%
Exactly 416.37%
Exactly 64.67%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.70%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.57%
Exactly 71.95%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 038.07%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.75%
Exactly 35.72%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 014.10%
Exactly 127.62%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.67%
Exactly 48.65%
Exactly 53.39%
Exactly 61.11%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.81%
Exactly 223.67%
Exactly 43.62%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.96%
Exactly 310.69%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 063.94%
Exactly 128.59%
Exactly 26.39%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 040.37%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 216.61%
Exactly 35.02%
Exactly 41.14%
Exactly 50.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals6.07%
Wins by 3+ goals1.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals36.28%
Wins by 3+ goals17.74%
Wins by 4+ goals7.16%
Wins by 5+ goals2.41%
Wins by 6+ goals0.65%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Sevilla
Dortmund
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal11.90%
Wins by 2 goals4.50%
Wins by 3 goals1.26%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal24.14%
Wins by 2 goals18.54%
Wins by 3 goals10.58%
Wins by 4 goals4.76%
Wins by 5 goals1.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.54%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.63%5.37%
1.578.94%21.06%
2.555.98%44.02%
3.533.60%66.40%
4.517.23%82.77%
5.57.65%92.35%
6.52.99%97.01%
7.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.93%38.07%
1.525.16%74.84%
2.57.41%92.59%
3.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.90%14.10%
1.558.28%41.72%
2.531.23%68.77%
3.513.56%86.44%
4.54.90%95.10%
5.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.19%25.81%
1.539.23%60.77%
2.515.56%84.44%
3.54.87%95.13%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sevilla
Dortmund
Score012345
0
5.37%
10.51%
10.30%
6.73%
3.29%
1.29%
1
5.18%
10.15%
9.95%
6.50%
3.18%
1.25%
2
2.50%
4.90%
4.80%
3.14%
1.54%
0.60%
3
0.81%
1.58%
1.55%
1.01%
0.49%
0.19%
4
0.19%
0.38%
0.37%
0.24%
0.12%
0.05%
Sevilla
1-05.18%
2-02.50%
2-14.90%
3-00.81%
3-11.58%
3-21.55%
4-00.19%
4-10.38%
4-20.37%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-05.37%
1-110.15%
2-24.80%
3-31.01%
4-40.12%
Dortmund
0-110.51%
0-210.30%
1-29.95%
0-36.73%
1-36.50%
2-33.14%
0-43.29%
1-43.18%
2-41.54%
3-40.49%
0-51.29%
1-51.25%
2-50.60%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Sevilla
Dortmund
Score012345
0
25.81%
23.42%
10.62%
3.21%
0.73%
0.13%
1
11.54%
10.47%
4.75%
1.44%
0.33%
0.06%
2
2.58%
2.34%
1.06%
0.32%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.38%
0.35%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Sevilla
1-011.54%
2-02.58%
2-12.34%
3-00.38%
3-10.35%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-025.81%
1-110.47%
2-21.06%
Dortmund
0-123.42%
0-210.62%
1-24.75%
0-33.21%
1-31.44%
2-30.32%
0-40.73%
1-40.33%
0-50.13%