Real Madrid at Manchester City

Updated

Real Madrid

13.2%19.5%67.3%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.10
3Final Score 4

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Chelsea+170
W 3-1 at Chelsea+270
W 1-3 vs Paris Saint-Germain+150
L 0-1 at Paris Saint-Germain+300
W 0-2 vs Inter+140
Manchester City
Money Line
T 0-0 at Atletico Madrid-132
W 0-1 vs Atletico Madrid-325
T 0-0 vs Sporting CP-500
W 5-0 at Sporting CP-310
L 1-2 at RB Leipzig-136

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+475+500+510+551+519+510+551+564.9
Manchester City-195-210-205-198-224-205-198-185.7
Draw+350+350+400+383+386+400+400+400.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+525-+530-+475+525+530+564.9
Manchester City-210--210--230-205-205-185.7
Draw+375-+374-+300+360+374+400.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +563 to +551
Manchester City ML moved from -224 to -233

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +550 to +525
Manchester City ML moved from -200 to -210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o3+102o2¾-130o3+105-o2¾-130o3+105o3+109
Underu2¾-104u3-122u2¾+114u3-120-u2¾+114u2¾+114u3-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o3-105o3+100-o3-110o3+100o3+100o3+109
Underu3-135u3-115u3-120-u3-120u3-120u3-115u3-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.50%
Exactly 223.13%
Exactly 416.22%
Exactly 64.55%
Exactly 80.68%
 
Exactly 115.95%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.41%
Exactly 71.88%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 044.82%
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 214.43%
Exactly 33.86%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 012.27%
Exactly 125.74%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 318.89%
Exactly 49.91%
Exactly 54.16%
Exactly 61.45%
Exactly 70.44%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.11%
Exactly 223.54%
Exactly 43.54%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.06%
Exactly 310.54%
Exactly 50.95%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 068.97%
Exactly 125.62%
Exactly 24.76%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 037.85%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.86%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals3.84%
Wins by 3+ goals0.85%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals42.92%
Wins by 3+ goals22.42%
Wins by 4+ goals9.73%
Wins by 5+ goals3.57%
Wins by 6+ goals1.11%
Wins by 7+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal9.33%
Wins by 2 goals3.00%
Wins by 3 goals0.71%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.39%
Wins by 2 goals20.50%
Wins by 3 goals12.69%
Wins by 4 goals6.16%
Wins by 5 goals2.45%
Wins by 6 goals0.82%
Wins by 7 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.50%5.50%
1.578.55%21.45%
2.555.42%44.58%
3.533.05%66.95%
4.516.83%83.17%
5.57.42%92.58%
6.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.18%44.82%
1.519.21%80.79%
2.54.78%95.22%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.73%12.27%
1.561.99%38.01%
2.534.99%65.01%
3.516.10%83.90%
4.56.20%93.80%
5.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.89%26.11%
1.538.83%61.17%
2.515.29%84.71%
3.54.75%95.25%
4.51.21%98.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Manchester City
Score012345
0
5.50%
11.54%
12.10%
8.47%
4.44%
1.86%
1
4.41%
9.26%
9.71%
6.79%
3.56%
1.50%
2
1.77%
3.71%
3.90%
2.73%
1.43%
0.60%
3
0.47%
0.99%
1.04%
0.73%
0.38%
0.16%
Real Madrid
1-04.41%
2-01.77%
2-13.71%
3-00.47%
3-10.99%
3-21.04%
Draw
0-05.50%
1-19.26%
2-23.90%
3-30.73%
Manchester City
0-111.54%
0-212.10%
1-29.71%
0-38.47%
1-36.79%
2-32.73%
0-44.44%
1-43.56%
2-41.43%
3-40.38%
0-51.86%
1-51.50%
2-50.60%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Manchester City
Score012345
0
26.11%
25.36%
12.32%
3.99%
0.97%
0.19%
1
9.70%
9.42%
4.58%
1.48%
0.36%
0.07%
2
1.80%
1.75%
0.85%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.22%
0.22%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-09.70%
2-01.80%
2-11.75%
3-00.22%
3-10.22%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-026.11%
1-19.42%
2-20.85%
Manchester City
0-125.36%
0-212.32%
1-24.58%
0-33.99%
1-31.48%
2-30.28%
0-40.97%
1-40.36%
0-50.19%