Valencia at Cartagena

Updated

Valencia

61.8%21.5%16.7%
Valencia WinDrawWin
1.93Projected Goals 0.89
2Final Score 1

Cartagena

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
L 5-0 vs Barcelona+780
L 3-1 vs Celta Vigo+100
W 2-1 at Cartagena-105
W 2-0 at UD Logrones
L 3-1 vs Athletic Club+185
Cartagena
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Leganes
L 2-1 vs Valencia+240
W 5-4 at Alcorcon
L 5-1 vs Villarreal+475
W 4-2 at Alcorcon+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
8.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia-172--162-169-169-169-162-128.1
Cartagena+375-+400+370+370+370+400+425.8
Draw+260-+255+260+260+260+260+302.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia------128.1
Cartagena-----+425.8
Draw-----+302.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cartagena: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 10.0%
Cartagena: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Cartagena: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from -149 to -169
Cartagena ML moved from +335 to +305

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-119-o2½+114o2¼-123o2¼-123o2¼-123o2¼-123o2¼-107
Underu2¼-111-u2½-138u2¼-107u2¼-107u2¼-107u2½-138u2¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-107
Under-----u2¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.94%
Exactly 223.67%
Exactly 415.73%
Exactly 64.18%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.77%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 58.89%
Exactly 71.69%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 014.47%
Exactly 127.97%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.42%
Exactly 48.42%
Exactly 53.26%
Exactly 61.05%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Cartagena
Exactly 041.03%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 216.28%
Exactly 34.83%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.05%
Exactly 223.12%
Exactly 43.29%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.37%
Exactly 310.08%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 040.86%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.37%
Exactly 34.88%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cartagena
Exactly 066.20%
Exactly 127.30%
Exactly 25.63%
Exactly 30.77%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals37.06%
Wins by 3+ goals18.06%
Wins by 4+ goals7.25%
Wins by 5+ goals2.42%
Cartagena
Wins by 2+ goals5.32%
Wins by 3+ goals1.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Cartagena
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal24.64%
Wins by 2 goals19.00%
Wins by 3 goals10.81%
Wins by 4 goals4.83%
Wins by 5 goals1.77%
Cartagena
Wins by 1 goal11.35%
Wins by 2 goals4.03%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.06%5.94%
1.577.30%22.70%
2.553.62%46.38%
3.531.34%68.66%
4.515.61%84.39%
5.56.72%93.28%
6.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.53%14.47%
1.557.56%42.44%
2.530.52%69.48%
3.513.10%86.90%
4.54.68%95.32%
5.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Cartagena Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.97%41.03%
1.522.41%77.59%
2.56.13%93.87%
3.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.95%27.05%
1.537.58%62.42%
2.514.46%85.54%
3.54.38%95.62%
4.51.09%98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Cartagena
Score01234
0
5.94%
5.29%
2.36%
0.70%
0.16%
1
11.48%
10.22%
4.55%
1.35%
0.30%
2
11.09%
9.88%
4.40%
1.31%
0.29%
3
7.15%
6.37%
2.84%
0.84%
0.19%
4
3.45%
3.08%
1.37%
0.41%
0.09%
5
1.34%
1.19%
0.53%
0.16%
0.04%
Valencia
1-011.48%
2-011.09%
2-19.88%
3-07.15%
3-16.37%
3-22.84%
4-03.45%
4-13.08%
4-21.37%
4-30.41%
5-01.34%
5-11.19%
5-20.53%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.94%
1-110.22%
2-24.40%
3-30.84%
Cartagena
0-15.29%
0-22.36%
1-24.55%
0-30.70%
1-31.35%
2-31.31%
0-40.16%
1-40.30%
2-40.29%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Cartagena
Score0123
0
27.05%
11.16%
2.30%
0.32%
1
24.21%
9.99%
2.06%
0.28%
2
10.84%
4.47%
0.92%
0.13%
3
3.23%
1.33%
0.27%
0.04%
4
0.72%
0.30%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-024.21%
2-010.84%
2-14.47%
3-03.23%
3-11.33%
3-20.27%
4-00.72%
4-10.30%
5-00.13%
Draw
0-027.05%
1-19.99%
2-20.92%
Cartagena
0-111.16%
0-22.30%
1-22.06%
0-30.32%
1-30.28%
2-30.13%