Barcelona at Real Madrid

Updated

Barcelona

21.2%23.7%55.1%
Barcelona WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.73
1Final Score 0

Real Madrid

Last 4 Games

Barcelona
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Real Sociedad-195
L 2-3 at Athletic Club+115
W 4-0 at Athletic Club-180
W 0-3 vs Sevilla-215
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Atletico Madrid-115
W 3-2 at Villarreal+140
L 0-1 at Athletic Club+155
W 2-1 at Elche-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona+167--+315+311+315+315+335.7
Real Madrid+148---115-109-115-109-103.9
Draw+230--+265+250+265+265+283.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona+195-+330-+275+330+330+335.7
Real Madrid+135--125--135-120-120-103.9
Draw+250-+270-+250+265+270+283.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from +340 to +315
Real Madrid ML moved from +101 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from +316 to +307
Real Madrid ML moved from -118 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-107--o2½-109o2½+100o2½-109o2½+100o2½+101
Underu2¾-113--u2½-111u2½-115u2½-111u2½-111u2½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130-o2½+103-o2½-115o2½+100o2½+103o2½+101
Underu2½+110-u2½-123-u2½-115u2½-120u2½-115u2½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%
 
No48.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.68%
Exactly 224.46%
Exactly 414.93%
Exactly 63.64%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.07%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 58.08%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Barcelona
Exactly 037.69%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.95%
Exactly 35.84%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 017.72%
Exactly 130.66%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 315.30%
Exactly 46.62%
Exactly 52.29%
Exactly 60.66%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.56%
Exactly 222.42%
Exactly 42.93%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 39.37%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Barcelona
Exactly 063.65%
Exactly 128.76%
Exactly 26.50%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 044.88%
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 214.40%
Exactly 33.85%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Barcelona
Wins by 2+ goals7.32%
Wins by 3+ goals1.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals30.59%
Wins by 3+ goals13.63%
Wins by 4+ goals4.97%
Wins by 5+ goals1.51%
Wins by 6+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Barcelona
Real Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Barcelona
Wins by 1 goal13.80%
Wins by 2 goals5.39%
Wins by 3 goals1.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.48%
Wins by 2 goals16.96%
Wins by 3 goals8.65%
Wins by 4 goals3.47%
Wins by 5 goals1.14%
Wins by 6 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.32%6.68%
1.575.25%24.75%
2.550.79%49.21%
3.528.73%71.27%
4.513.80%86.20%
5.55.72%94.28%
6.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Barcelona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.31%37.69%
1.525.54%74.46%
2.57.59%92.41%
3.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.28%17.72%
1.551.62%48.38%
2.525.08%74.92%
3.59.78%90.22%
4.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.44%28.56%
1.535.65%64.35%
2.513.22%86.78%
3.53.86%96.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
6.68%
11.56%
10.00%
5.77%
2.50%
0.86%
1
6.52%
11.28%
9.76%
5.63%
2.44%
0.84%
2
3.18%
5.50%
4.76%
2.75%
1.19%
0.41%
3
1.03%
1.79%
1.55%
0.89%
0.39%
0.13%
4
0.25%
0.44%
0.38%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
Barcelona
1-06.52%
2-03.18%
2-15.50%
3-01.03%
3-11.79%
3-21.55%
4-00.25%
4-10.44%
4-20.38%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.68%
1-111.28%
2-24.76%
3-30.89%
Real Madrid
0-111.56%
0-210.00%
1-29.76%
0-35.77%
1-35.63%
2-32.75%
0-42.50%
1-42.44%
2-41.19%
3-40.39%
0-50.86%
1-50.84%
2-50.41%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Score01234
0
28.56%
22.89%
9.17%
2.45%
0.49%
1
12.91%
10.34%
4.14%
1.11%
0.22%
2
2.92%
2.34%
0.94%
0.25%
0.05%
3
0.44%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Barcelona
1-012.91%
2-02.92%
2-12.34%
3-00.44%
3-10.35%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-028.56%
1-110.34%
2-20.94%
Real Madrid
0-122.89%
0-29.17%
1-24.14%
0-32.45%
1-31.11%
2-30.25%
0-40.49%
1-40.22%