## Nacional

**Win**

**Draw**

**Win**

## Sao Paulo

### Last 5 Games

### Money Line Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**3.7%**

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**11.2%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Nacional | +600 | - | +550 | +570 | +570 | +570 | +570 | +603.5 |

Sao Paulo | -190 | - | -170 | -157 | -157 | -157 | -157 | -139.1 |

Draw | +270 | - | +260 | +245 | +245 | +245 | +260 | +262.3 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Nacional | +485 | - | - | - | +485 | - | +485 | +603.5 |

Sao Paulo | -205 | - | - | - | -180 | - | -180 | -139.1 |

Draw | +250 | - | - | - | +220 | - | +220 | +262.3 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move### Over/Under Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**4.5%**

#### Implied Margin

**6.1%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o2¼-110 | - | o2-115 | o2-112 | o2-112 | o2-112 | o2-112 | o2-102 |

Under | u2¼-120 | - | u2-115 | u2-108 | u2-108 | u2-108 | u2-108 | u2+102 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o2-150 | - | - | - | o2-130 | - | o2-130 | o2-102 |

Under | u2+120 | - | - | - | u2+100 | - | u2+100 | u2+102 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

### Goal Props

Both Teams to Score | |
---|---|

Yes | 44.4% |

No | 55.6% |

#### Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 5.93% |

Exactly 2 | 23.67% |

Exactly 4 | 15.74% |

Exactly 6 | 4.19% |

Exactly 8 | 0.60% |

Exactly 1 | 16.75% |

Exactly 3 | 22.29% |

Exactly 5 | 8.89% |

Exactly 7 | 1.69% |

Exactly 9 | 0.19% |

Exact Goals Scored - Nacional | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 49.55% |

Exactly 1 | 34.79% |

Exactly 2 | 12.22% |

Exactly 3 | 2.86% |

Exactly 4 | 0.50% |

Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 11.97% |

Exactly 1 | 25.41% |

Exactly 2 | 26.97% |

Exactly 3 | 19.08% |

Exactly 4 | 10.13% |

Exactly 5 | 4.30% |

Exactly 6 | 1.52% |

Exactly 7 | 0.46% |

Exactly 8 | 0.12% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 27.04% |

Exactly 2 | 23.13% |

Exactly 4 | 3.30% |

Exactly 6 | 0.19% |

Exactly 1 | 35.36% |

Exactly 3 | 10.08% |

Exactly 5 | 0.86% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 72.24% |

Exactly 1 | 23.49% |

Exactly 2 | 3.82% |

Exactly 3 | 0.41% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 37.42% |

Exactly 1 | 36.78% |

Exactly 2 | 18.08% |

Exactly 3 | 5.92% |

Exactly 4 | 1.46% |

Exactly 5 | 0.29% |

### Alternate Props

#### Spread

Nacional | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 2.85% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 0.53% |

Sao Paulo | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 45.62% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 24.25% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 10.69% |

Wins by 5+ goals | 3.98% |

Wins by 6+ goals | 1.26% |

Wins by 7+ goals | 0.33% |

#### Exact Winning Margin

##### Nacional

##### Sao Paulo

Nacional | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 8.14% |

Wins by 2 goals | 2.32% |

Wins by 3 goals | 0.47% |

Sao Paulo | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 24.62% |

Wins by 2 goals | 21.37% |

Wins by 3 goals | 13.55% |

Wins by 4 goals | 6.71% |

Wins by 5 goals | 2.72% |

Wins by 6 goals | 0.93% |

Wins by 7 goals | 0.27% |

#### Total Goals Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 94.07% | 5.93% |

1.5 | 77.31% | 22.69% |

2.5 | 53.65% | 46.35% |

3.5 | 31.36% | 68.64% |

4.5 | 15.62% | 84.38% |

5.5 | 6.73% | 93.27% |

6.5 | 2.54% | 97.46% |

#### Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 50.45% | 49.55% |

1.5 | 15.66% | 84.34% |

2.5 | 3.44% | 96.56% |

#### Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 88.03% | 11.97% |

1.5 | 62.62% | 37.38% |

2.5 | 35.65% | 64.35% |

3.5 | 16.57% | 83.43% |

4.5 | 6.44% | 93.56% |

5.5 | 2.14% | 97.86% |

#### Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 72.96% | 27.04% |

1.5 | 37.60% | 62.40% |

2.5 | 14.47% | 85.53% |

3.5 | 4.39% | 95.61% |

4.5 | 1.09% | 98.91% |

### Score Props

#### Correct Score

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 5.93% | 12.59% | 13.36% | 9.46% | 5.02% | 2.13% |

1 | 4.16% | 8.84% | 9.38% | 6.64% | 3.52% | 1.50% |

2 | 1.46% | 3.10% | 3.29% | 2.33% | 1.24% | 0.53% |

3 | 0.34% | 0.73% | 0.77% | 0.55% | 0.29% | 0.12% |

Nacional | |
---|---|

1-0 | 4.16% |

2-0 | 1.46% |

2-1 | 3.10% |

3-0 | 0.34% |

3-1 | 0.73% |

3-2 | 0.77% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 5.93% |

1-1 | 8.84% |

2-2 | 3.29% |

3-3 | 0.55% |

Sao Paulo | |
---|---|

0-1 | 12.59% |

0-2 | 13.36% |

1-2 | 9.38% |

0-3 | 9.46% |

1-3 | 6.64% |

2-3 | 2.33% |

0-4 | 5.02% |

1-4 | 3.52% |

2-4 | 1.24% |

3-4 | 0.29% |

0-5 | 2.13% |

1-5 | 1.50% |

2-5 | 0.53% |

3-5 | 0.12% |

#### Correct Score - First Half

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 27.04% | 26.57% | 13.06% | 4.28% | 1.05% | 0.21% |

1 | 8.79% | 8.64% | 4.25% | 1.39% | 0.34% | 0.07% |

2 | 1.43% | 1.40% | 0.69% | 0.23% | 0.06% | 0.01% |

3 | 0.15% | 0.15% | 0.07% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.00% |

Nacional | |
---|---|

1-0 | 8.79% |

2-0 | 1.43% |

2-1 | 1.40% |

3-0 | 0.15% |

3-1 | 0.15% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 27.04% |

1-1 | 8.64% |

2-2 | 0.69% |

Sao Paulo | |
---|---|

0-1 | 26.57% |

0-2 | 13.06% |

1-2 | 4.25% |

0-3 | 4.28% |

1-3 | 1.39% |

2-3 | 0.23% |

0-4 | 1.05% |

1-4 | 0.34% |

0-5 | 0.21% |