Coppa Italia Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atalanta
Lazio 		38.6%
34.9%		26.5%
+124
+244
+120
+240
1.32
1.25		2.57
o2¼-110
u2½-150
o2½+110
u2½-130
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cittadella
Sassuolo		8.6%
76.7%		14.7%
+404
-140
+385
-170
1
2		-0.57771-0.58102-0.26480
Juventus
Atalanta		25.1%
50.4%		24.5%
+215
+160
+210
+162
1
0		-1.17380-1.16302-1.38079
Fiorentina
Atalanta		14.5%
66.8%		18.7%
+317
-104
+310
-108
1
4		-0.70455-0.68826-0.40278
Juventus
Lazio		36.4%
35.4%		28.2%
+178
+183
+175
+187
1
2		-1.07429-1.08838-1.03733
Atalanta
Fiorentina		42.5%
31.8%		25.7%
+183
+170
+170
+180
0
1		-1.02146-1.06886-1.14649
Lazio
Juventus		17.5%
60.6%		21.8%
+455
-126
+450
-135
0
2		-0.61391-0.60349-0.50022
Frosinone
Juventus		7.5%
77.5%		15.0%
+825
-256
+850
-300
0
4		-0.35203-0.33774-0.25472
Atalanta
Milan		28.0%
47.1%		24.9%
+210
+140
+210
+130
2
1		-1.16424-1.18159-1.27275
Roma
Lazio		29.5%
44.8%		25.7%
+165
+218
+160
+210
0
1		-1.18610-1.18211-0.80249
Bologna
Fiorentina		17.6%
61.1%		21.2%
+265
+130
+275
+115
4
5		-0.86176-0.81353-0.49223
Salernitana
Juventus		7.5%
77.9%		14.6%
+1550
-455
+1425
-525
1
6		-0.22922-0.22667-0.25035
Cremonese
Roma		6.0%
81.7%		12.3%
+900
-262
+800
-275
1
2		-0.34599-0.35753-0.20163
Sassuolo
Atalanta		10.0%
75.7%		14.3%
+718
-249
+700
-260
1
3		-0.36892-0.37157-0.27868
Cagliari
Milan		5.7%
82.2%		12.1%
+415
-143
+380
-145
1
4		-0.55354-0.57346-0.19582
Bologna
Inter		8.2%
77.6%		14.3%
+736
-226
+680
-200
2
1		-2.15279-2.07601-2.50678
Frosinone
Napoli		3.7%
87.1%		9.2%
+640
-225
+635
-230
4
0		-2.03454-2.04392-3.28421
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18267 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18306 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.44796
-0.26529
-0.26490

Predictions Methodology

The Coppa Italia is a 78 team tournament that is the top-tier Cup in Italy. The eight round competition includes teams from the top four Italian leagues: Serie A, Serie B, Serie C, and Serie D. All of our projections for the games are based on the result after 90 minutes. All games will not be listed as we only have data on teams from the top leagues.