Coppa Italia Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atalanta
Lazio 		38.6%
34.9%		26.5%
+124
+244
+120
+245
1.32
1.25		2.57
o2¼-110
u2½-150
o2½+110
u2½-130
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Parma
Fiorentina		10.0%
73.7%		16.3%
+679
-228
+620
-225
1
4		-0.39928-0.41977-0.30487
Genoa
Lazio		19.7%
57.4%		22.8%
+535
-155
+525
-160
0
1		-0.53003-0.53368-0.55497
Frosinone
Torino		10.6%
71.7%		17.7%
+500
-158
+460
-210
2
1		-1.82344-1.84497-2.24791
Spezia
Sassuolo		21.0%
57.0%		22.0%
+575
-202
+525
-270
4
5		-0.43152-0.43538-0.56135
Cagliari
Udinese		16.3%
62.2%		21.5%
+198
+144
+275
-125
2
1		-1.13237-1.43974-1.81450
Parma
Lecce		17.5%
61.0%		21.4%
+280
+105
+260
-120
4
2		-1.36865-1.39983-1.74160
Reggiana
Genoa		5.6%
81.8%		12.5%
+550
-213
+460
-230
1
2		-0.44968-0.47928-0.20053
Hellas Verona
Bologna		28.7%
45.5%		25.8%
+470
-163
+425
-200
0
2		-0.51792-0.52540-0.78818
Sampdoria
Salernitana		29.9%
43.2%		26.9%
+401
-136
+385
-180
0
4		-0.58618-0.56124-0.83947
Cittadella
Cremonese		18.1%
58.2%		23.7%
+394
-133
+335
-150
1
2		-0.59982-0.62773-0.54166
Venezia
Spezia		19.1%
58.0%		22.9%
+246
+115
+275
-130
3
4		-0.80453-0.69311-0.54483
Sudtirol
Sampdoria		9.7%
73.9%		16.4%
+293
+108
+285
-120
6
7		-0.76727-0.72639-0.30243
Crotone
Cremonese		13.5%
67.5%		19.0%
+666
-242
+505
-270
1
3		-0.38527-0.43516-0.39272
Reggiana
Monza		6.0%
80.8%		13.2%
+1050
-480

2
1		-2.51072-2.80826
Como
Lecce		9.0%
76.6%		14.4%
+479
-159
+400
-180
0
1		-0.52692-0.56279-0.26663
Ternana
Salernitana		15.7%
64.9%		19.4%
+499
-177
+475
-245
0
1		-0.48052-0.46270-0.43214
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18267 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18306 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.44796
-0.26529
-0.26490

Predictions Methodology

The Coppa Italia is a 78 team tournament that is the top-tier Cup in Italy. The eight round competition includes teams from the top four Italian leagues: Serie A, Serie B, Serie C, and Serie D. All of our projections for the games are based on the result after 90 minutes. All games will not be listed as we only have data on teams from the top leagues.