Chelsea at Leeds United

Updated

Chelsea

50.7%24.8%24.4%
Chelsea WinDrawLeeds United Win
1.62Projected Goals 1.04
1Final Score 3

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Arsenal+220
W 2-0 at Burnley-175
W 0-3 vs Wolverhampton-275
W 1-0 at Tottenham+136
L 2-1 vs Sunderland-235
Leeds United
Money Line
L 2-3 at Manchester City+1100
L 2-1 vs Aston Villa+248
L 1-3 at Nottingham Forest+232
L 0-3 at Brighton and Hove Albion+285
W 1-2 vs West Ham United-128

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-125--104-109-109-109-104-101.7
Leeds United+305-+295+320+320+320+320+334.4
Draw+300-+245+264+264+264+264+276.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-130-+100-110-130+100+100-101.7
Leeds United+320-+300+300+280+305+305+334.4
Draw+305-+235+270+275+230+275+276.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Leeds United: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +100 to -101
Leeds United ML moved from +305 to +290

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 10.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -110 to -125
Leeds United ML moved from +300 to +285

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118-o2½+105o2½+101o2½+101o2½+101o2½+105o2½+108
Underu2½-102-u2½-125u2½-117u2½-117u2½-117u2½-117u2½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-110o2½-110o2½-110o2½-120o2½+100o2½+100o2½+108
Underu2½+100u2½-110u2½-110u2½-110u2½-110u2½-120u2½-110u2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-113 to u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-120 to o2½-140
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.98%
Exactly 224.74%
Exactly 414.60%
Exactly 63.45%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.59%
Exactly 321.95%
Exactly 57.77%
Exactly 71.31%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 019.83%
Exactly 132.08%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 314.00%
Exactly 45.66%
Exactly 51.83%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 035.23%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.17%
Exactly 36.67%
Exactly 41.74%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.16%
Exactly 222.14%
Exactly 42.80%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 39.09%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 047.28%
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 213.27%
Exactly 33.31%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 061.69%
Exactly 129.80%
Exactly 27.20%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals26.78%
Wins by 3+ goals11.27%
Wins by 4+ goals3.88%
Wins by 5+ goals1.11%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals8.95%
Wins by 3+ goals2.51%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Leeds United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.94%
Wins by 2 goals15.51%
Wins by 3 goals7.40%
Wins by 4 goals2.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.85%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal15.44%
Wins by 2 goals6.44%
Wins by 3 goals1.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.02%6.98%
1.574.43%25.57%
2.549.69%50.31%
3.527.74%72.26%
4.513.14%86.86%
5.55.37%94.63%
6.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.17%19.83%
1.548.09%51.91%
2.522.13%77.87%
3.58.13%91.87%
4.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.77%35.23%
1.528.02%71.98%
2.58.85%91.15%
3.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.84%29.16%
1.534.90%65.10%
2.512.76%87.24%
3.53.66%96.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Leeds United
Score01234
0
6.98%
7.29%
3.80%
1.32%
0.34%
1
11.30%
11.79%
6.15%
2.14%
0.56%
2
9.14%
9.54%
4.98%
1.73%
0.45%
3
4.93%
5.15%
2.68%
0.93%
0.24%
4
1.99%
2.08%
1.09%
0.38%
0.10%
5
0.65%
0.67%
0.35%
0.12%
0.03%
Chelsea
1-011.30%
2-09.14%
2-19.54%
3-04.93%
3-15.15%
3-22.68%
4-01.99%
4-12.08%
4-21.09%
4-30.38%
5-00.65%
5-10.67%
5-20.35%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.98%
1-111.79%
2-24.98%
3-30.93%
Leeds United
0-17.29%
0-23.80%
1-26.15%
0-31.32%
1-32.14%
2-31.73%
0-40.34%
1-40.56%
2-40.45%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Leeds United
Score0123
0
29.16%
14.09%
3.40%
0.55%
1
21.85%
10.55%
2.55%
0.41%
2
8.18%
3.95%
0.95%
0.15%
3
2.04%
0.99%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.38%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
Chelsea
1-021.85%
2-08.18%
2-13.95%
3-02.04%
3-10.99%
3-20.24%
4-00.38%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-029.16%
1-110.55%
2-20.95%
Leeds United
0-114.09%
0-23.40%
1-22.55%
0-30.55%
1-30.41%
2-30.15%