Brentford at Watford

Updated

Brentford

34.2%29.1%36.7%
Brentford WinDrawWatford Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.12
2Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Brentford
Money Line
W 0-2 vs West Ham United+165
W 4-1 at Chelsea+850
L 1-2 at Leicester City+255
W 0-2 vs Burnley+110
W 3-1 at Norwich City+155
Watford
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Leeds United+180
L 0-2 at Liverpool+2000
W 2-1 at Southampton+435
L 0-4 at Wolverhampton+380
L 3-2 vs Arsenal+600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+170+140+150+154+132+150+154+158.2
Watford+175+195+195+201+198+195+201+207.3
Draw+205+235+237+239+239+237+239+248.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+155-+142-+125+135+142+158.2
Watford+185-+200-+190+210+210+207.3
Draw+225-+227-+195+230+230+248.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +150 to +140
Watford ML moved from +205 to +195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +142 to +135
Watford ML moved from +211 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2½+102o2½+104o2½+103-o2½+104o2½+104o2½+109
Underu2¼-105u2½-122u2½-120u2½-118-u2½-120u2½-118u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+100o2½-106-o2½-115o2½+100o2½+100o2½+109
Underu2½-130u2½-120u2½-114-u2½-115u2½-120u2½-114u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-118 to o2½+100
The Under moved from u2½-116 to u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-101 to o2½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.12%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 410.78%
Exactly 61.73%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.42%
Exactly 319.64%
Exactly 54.74%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 034.19%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.69%
Exactly 37.04%
Exactly 41.89%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 032.52%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.52%
Exactly 37.68%
Exactly 42.16%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.17%
Exactly 218.70%
Exactly 41.61%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.34%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 060.84%
Exactly 130.23%
Exactly 27.51%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 059.45%
Exactly 130.92%
Exactly 28.04%
Exactly 31.39%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals13.35%
Wins by 3+ goals3.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals14.89%
Wins by 3+ goals4.59%
Wins by 4+ goals1.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Brentford
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal20.73%
Wins by 2 goals9.40%
Wins by 3 goals3.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal21.69%
Wins by 2 goals10.29%
Wins by 3 goals3.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.88%11.12%
1.564.46%35.54%
2.537.63%62.37%
3.517.99%82.01%
4.57.21%92.79%
5.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.81%34.19%
1.529.11%70.89%
2.59.42%90.58%
3.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.48%32.52%
1.530.95%69.05%
2.510.43%89.57%
3.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.83%36.17%
1.527.05%72.95%
2.58.34%91.66%
3.52.00%98.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brentford
Watford
Score012345
0
11.12%
12.49%
7.01%
2.63%
0.74%
0.17%
1
11.93%
13.40%
7.53%
2.82%
0.79%
0.18%
2
6.40%
7.19%
4.04%
1.51%
0.42%
0.10%
3
2.29%
2.57%
1.45%
0.54%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.61%
0.69%
0.39%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Brentford
1-011.93%
2-06.40%
2-17.19%
3-02.29%
3-12.57%
3-21.45%
4-00.61%
4-10.69%
4-20.39%
4-30.15%
5-00.13%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-011.12%
1-113.40%
2-24.04%
3-30.54%
Watford
0-112.49%
0-27.01%
1-27.53%
0-32.63%
1-32.82%
2-31.51%
0-40.74%
1-40.79%
2-40.42%
3-40.15%
0-50.17%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Brentford
Watford
Score01234
0
36.17%
18.81%
4.89%
0.85%
0.11%
1
17.97%
9.35%
2.43%
0.42%
0.05%
2
4.46%
2.32%
0.60%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.74%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Brentford
1-017.97%
2-04.46%
2-12.32%
3-00.74%
3-10.38%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-036.17%
1-19.35%
2-20.60%
Watford
0-118.81%
0-24.89%
1-22.43%
0-30.85%
1-30.42%
2-30.10%
0-40.11%