Leeds United at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Leeds United

15.1%20.1%64.8%
WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
0.89Projected Goals 2.07
0Final Score 0

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Manchester City+900
L 3-4 at Tottenham+440
W 3-4 vs Bournemouth-159
W 2-1 at Liverpool+1100
L 3-2 vs Fulham+105
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 3-0 at Leicester City+114
W 0-1 vs Chelsea+125
W 4-1 at Southampton-120
W 0-4 vs Aston Villa-125
W 2-1 at Tottenham+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+475+601+525+590+628+590+628+645.0
Newcastle Utd-185-213-215-210-209-210-209-194.9
Draw+340+362+380+372+377+372+380+388.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+545-+565-+500+580+580+645.0
Newcastle Utd-210--225--260-220-220-194.9
Draw+360-+376-+315+360+376+388.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +600 to +590
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -215 to -225

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +610 to +580
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -230 to -240

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o3+107o2¾-122o2¾-118o3+109o2¾-118o2¾-118o3+116
Underu2¾-108u3-127u2¾+102u2¾+102u3-124u2¾+102u3-124u3-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+115o3+115-o3+110o3+110o3+115o3+116
Underu3-120u3-135u3-135-u3-140u3-130u3-130u3-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u3-140

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.19%
Exactly 222.71%
Exactly 416.57%
Exactly 64.83%
Exactly 80.76%
 
Exactly 115.35%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.80%
Exactly 72.04%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 041.19%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.20%
Exactly 34.79%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 012.60%
Exactly 126.10%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 318.67%
Exactly 49.67%
Exactly 54.01%
Exactly 61.38%
Exactly 70.41%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.42%
Exactly 223.84%
Exactly 43.73%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.81%
Exactly 310.89%
Exactly 51.02%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 066.32%
Exactly 127.23%
Exactly 25.59%
Exactly 30.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 038.32%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.63%
Exactly 35.64%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals4.75%
Wins by 3+ goals1.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals40.58%
Wins by 3+ goals20.85%
Wins by 4+ goals8.91%
Wins by 5+ goals3.21%
Wins by 6+ goals0.99%
Wins by 7+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Newcastle United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal10.34%
Wins by 2 goals3.61%
Wins by 3 goals0.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal24.16%
Wins by 2 goals19.73%
Wins by 3 goals11.94%
Wins by 4 goals5.69%
Wins by 5 goals2.23%
Wins by 6 goals0.74%
Wins by 7 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.81%5.19%
1.579.46%20.54%
2.556.75%43.25%
3.534.35%65.65%
4.517.78%82.22%
5.57.98%92.02%
6.53.15%96.85%
7.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.81%41.19%
1.522.27%77.73%
2.56.07%93.93%
3.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.40%12.60%
1.561.30%38.70%
2.534.27%65.73%
3.515.60%84.40%
4.55.94%94.06%
5.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.58%25.42%
1.539.77%60.23%
2.515.93%84.07%
3.55.04%94.96%
4.51.31%98.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
5.19%
10.75%
11.14%
7.69%
3.98%
1.65%
1
4.60%
9.53%
9.88%
6.82%
3.53%
1.46%
2
2.04%
4.23%
4.38%
3.02%
1.57%
0.65%
3
0.60%
1.25%
1.29%
0.89%
0.46%
0.19%
4
0.13%
0.28%
0.29%
0.20%
0.10%
0.04%
Leeds United
1-04.60%
2-02.04%
2-14.23%
3-00.60%
3-11.25%
3-21.29%
4-00.13%
4-10.28%
4-20.29%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-05.19%
1-19.53%
2-24.38%
3-30.89%
4-40.10%
Newcastle United
0-110.75%
0-211.14%
1-29.88%
0-37.69%
1-36.82%
2-33.02%
0-43.98%
1-43.53%
2-41.57%
3-40.46%
0-51.65%
1-51.46%
2-50.65%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
25.42%
24.38%
11.69%
3.74%
0.90%
0.17%
1
10.44%
10.01%
4.80%
1.53%
0.37%
0.07%
2
2.14%
2.06%
0.99%
0.32%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.29%
0.28%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-010.44%
2-02.14%
2-12.06%
3-00.29%
3-10.28%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-025.42%
1-110.01%
2-20.99%
Newcastle United
0-124.38%
0-211.69%
1-24.80%
0-33.74%
1-31.53%
2-30.32%
0-40.90%
1-40.37%
0-50.17%