Everton at Aston Villa

Updated

Everton

23.6%23.9%52.5%
Everton WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.72
1Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Everton
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Chelsea+600
L 1-5 at Arsenal+800
W 2-3 vs Crystal Palace-116
L 3-2 vs Brentford-110
T 0-0 at Watford-165
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bournemouth+100
L 2-3 at Manchester City+1600
T 1-1 vs Burnley+110
T 1-1 vs Crystal Palace-110
L 2-1 vs Liverpool+650

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Everton+255+393+390+390+412+390+412+423.3
Aston Villa+105-126-135-125-124-125-124-118.1
Draw+230+257+265+265+266+265+266+274.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Everton+360-+375-+340+385+385+423.3
Aston Villa-125--130--155-130-130-118.1
Draw+260-+254-+240+255+255+274.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Everton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Everton: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Everton: 30.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Everton ML moved from +421 to +412
Aston Villa ML moved from -120 to -127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Everton: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Everton: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Everton: 30.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Everton ML moved from +360 to +350
Aston Villa ML moved from -150 to -160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½+112o2¼-118o2¼-110o2½+117o2¼-110o2¼-110o2½+123
Underu2½-112u2½-132u2¼-102u2¼-106u2½-132u2¼-106u2½-132u2½-123
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+110o2½+120-o2½+100o2½+110o2½+120o2½+123
Underu2½-120u2½-130u2½-140-u2½-130u2½-130u2½-130u2½-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.9%
 
No46.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.16%
Exactly 223.92%
Exactly 415.49%
Exactly 64.01%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.16%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 58.64%
Exactly 71.60%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Everton
Exactly 034.29%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.64%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 017.95%
Exactly 130.83%
Exactly 226.48%
Exactly 315.16%
Exactly 46.51%
Exactly 52.24%
Exactly 60.64%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.51%
Exactly 222.91%
Exactly 43.18%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 39.86%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Everton
Exactly 060.92%
Exactly 130.19%
Exactly 27.48%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 045.15%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 214.28%
Exactly 33.78%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Everton
Wins by 2+ goals8.72%
Wins by 3+ goals2.47%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals28.72%
Wins by 3+ goals12.63%
Wins by 4+ goals4.55%
Wins by 5+ goals1.36%
Wins by 6+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Everton
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Everton
Wins by 1 goal14.81%
Wins by 2 goals6.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.77%
Wins by 2 goals16.09%
Wins by 3 goals8.07%
Wins by 4 goals3.19%
Wins by 5 goals1.03%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.84%6.16%
1.576.68%23.32%
2.552.76%47.24%
3.530.54%69.46%
4.515.04%84.96%
5.56.41%93.59%
6.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals Everton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.71%34.29%
1.529.01%70.99%
2.59.37%90.63%
3.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.05%17.95%
1.551.22%48.78%
2.524.74%75.26%
3.59.58%90.42%
4.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.49%27.51%
1.536.99%63.01%
2.514.08%85.92%
3.54.22%95.78%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Everton
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.16%
10.57%
9.08%
5.20%
2.23%
0.77%
1
6.59%
11.32%
9.72%
5.56%
2.39%
0.82%
2
3.53%
6.06%
5.20%
2.98%
1.28%
0.44%
3
1.26%
2.16%
1.86%
1.06%
0.46%
0.16%
4
0.34%
0.58%
0.50%
0.28%
0.12%
0.04%
Everton
1-06.59%
2-03.53%
2-16.06%
3-01.26%
3-12.16%
3-21.86%
4-00.34%
4-10.58%
4-20.50%
4-30.28%
Draw
0-06.16%
1-111.32%
2-25.20%
3-31.06%
4-40.12%
Aston Villa
0-110.57%
0-29.08%
1-29.72%
0-35.20%
1-35.56%
2-32.98%
0-42.23%
1-42.39%
2-41.28%
3-40.46%
0-50.77%
1-50.82%
2-50.44%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Everton
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
27.51%
21.87%
8.70%
2.31%
0.46%
1
13.63%
10.84%
4.31%
1.14%
0.23%
2
3.38%
2.69%
1.07%
0.28%
0.06%
3
0.56%
0.44%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Everton
1-013.63%
2-03.38%
2-12.69%
3-00.56%
3-10.44%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-027.51%
1-110.84%
2-21.07%
Aston Villa
0-121.87%
0-28.70%
1-24.31%
0-32.31%
1-31.14%
2-30.28%
0-40.46%
1-40.23%