Newcastle Utd at Arsenal

Updated

Newcastle United

16.3%21.0%62.7%
WinDrawArsenal Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.99
1Final Score 4

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Bournemouth-105
W 3-2 at Nottingham Forest+115
T 4-4 vs Luton Town-195
W 3-1 at Aston Villa+295
L 3-2 vs Manchester City+410
Arsenal
Money Line
W 5-0 at Burnley-325
W 6-0 at West Ham United-200
W 1-3 vs Liverpool+120
W 2-1 at Nottingham Forest-270
W 0-5 vs Crystal Palace-370

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+677+669+675+765+751+765+765+795.0
Arsenal-254-267-280-290-286-290-267-255.5
Draw+417+447+440+470+467+470+470+489.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+600-+750-+590+800+800+795.0
Arsenal-260--316--340-315-315-255.5
Draw+440-+472-+380+460+472+489.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 30.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +771 to +751
Arsenal ML moved from -306 to -315

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 40.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 30.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +770 to +750
Arsenal ML moved from -320 to -340

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3½+112o3-118o3¼-106o3¼-105o3¼-106o3-118o3¼+102
Underu3+115u3½-132u3-102u3¼-110u3¼-109u3¼-110u3½-132u3¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-140o3-140-o3-130o3-145o3-130o3¼+102
Underu3+115u3+120u3+120-u3+100u3+125u3+125u3¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-118 to o3¼-105
The Under moved from u3¼-115 to u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-115 to o3-140
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%
 
No48.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.56%
Exactly 223.21%
Exactly 416.15%
Exactly 64.50%
Exactly 80.67%
 
Exactly 116.06%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.34%
Exactly 71.86%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 040.57%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 216.51%
Exactly 34.97%
Exactly 41.12%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 013.70%
Exactly 127.23%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.94%
Exactly 48.91%
Exactly 53.54%
Exactly 61.17%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.23%
Exactly 223.49%
Exactly 43.50%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 310.48%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 065.85%
Exactly 127.51%
Exactly 25.75%
Exactly 30.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 039.84%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.87%
Exactly 35.18%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals5.23%
Wins by 3+ goals1.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals38.17%
Wins by 3+ goals18.96%
Wins by 4+ goals7.78%
Wins by 5+ goals2.66%
Wins by 6+ goals0.73%
Wins by 7+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Arsenal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal11.07%
Wins by 2 goals3.95%
Wins by 3 goals1.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal24.40%
Wins by 2 goals19.21%
Wins by 3 goals11.19%
Wins by 4 goals5.12%
Wins by 5 goals1.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.60%
Wins by 7 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.44%5.56%
1.578.38%21.62%
2.555.18%44.82%
3.532.82%67.18%
4.516.66%83.34%
5.57.33%92.67%
6.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.43%40.57%
1.522.83%77.17%
2.56.32%93.68%
3.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.30%13.70%
1.559.07%40.93%
2.532.01%67.99%
3.514.07%85.93%
4.55.16%94.84%
5.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.77%26.23%
1.538.66%61.34%
2.515.18%84.82%
3.54.70%95.30%
4.51.19%98.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Arsenal
Score012345
0
5.56%
11.05%
10.98%
7.28%
3.62%
1.44%
1
5.01%
9.97%
9.91%
6.56%
3.26%
1.30%
2
2.26%
4.50%
4.47%
2.96%
1.47%
0.59%
3
0.68%
1.35%
1.34%
0.89%
0.44%
0.18%
4
0.15%
0.30%
0.30%
0.20%
0.10%
0.04%
Newcastle United
1-05.01%
2-02.26%
2-14.50%
3-00.68%
3-11.35%
3-21.34%
4-00.15%
4-10.30%
4-20.30%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-05.56%
1-19.97%
2-24.47%
3-30.89%
Arsenal
0-111.05%
0-210.98%
1-29.91%
0-37.28%
1-36.56%
2-32.96%
0-43.62%
1-43.26%
2-41.47%
3-40.44%
0-51.44%
1-51.30%
2-50.59%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Arsenal
Score012345
0
26.23%
24.15%
11.11%
3.41%
0.78%
0.14%
1
10.96%
10.09%
4.64%
1.42%
0.33%
0.06%
2
2.29%
2.11%
0.97%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.32%
0.29%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-010.96%
2-02.29%
2-12.11%
3-00.32%
3-10.29%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-026.23%
1-110.09%
2-20.97%
Arsenal
0-124.15%
0-211.11%
1-24.64%
0-33.41%
1-31.42%
2-30.30%
0-40.78%
1-40.33%
0-50.14%