Aston Villa at Manchester Utd

Updated

Aston Villa

27.3%25.6%47.1%
Aston Villa WinDrawManchester Utd Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.52
0Final Score 2

Manchester United

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Tottenham-330
W 1-0 at Bournemouth+165
W 0-1 vs Fulham-120
L 1-2 at Manchester City+280
W 1-4 vs Newcastle United+160
Manchester United
Money Line
L 0-1 at Chelsea+600
L 2-0 vs West Ham United+100
L 3-4 at Brentford+375
T 1-1 at Bournemouth+350
L 1-0 vs Wolverhampton+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa-135-149-150-148-156-148-148-136.3
Manchester Utd+320+375+360+375+368+375+375+391.4
Draw+310+332+340+340+330+340+340+355.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa-135--156-155-155-165-155-136.3
Manchester Utd+335-+375+335+315+400+400+391.4
Draw+330-+330+300+315+340+340+355.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from -154 to -161
Manchester Utd ML moved from +377 to +368

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from -150 to -165
Manchester Utd ML moved from +400 to +375

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-114o3-108o3-106o3-112o3-106o3-106o3+102
Underu3-118u3-103u3-112u3-110u3-108u3-110u3-103u3-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-105o3-108o3-115o3-105o3-110o3-105o3+102
Underu3-120u3-115u3-112u3-105u3-125u3-110u3-105u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.35%
Exactly 225.05%
Exactly 414.22%
Exactly 63.23%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.19%
Exactly 321.79%
Exactly 57.42%
Exactly 71.20%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 033.56%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.00%
Exactly 37.28%
Exactly 41.99%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 021.91%
Exactly 133.27%
Exactly 225.25%
Exactly 312.78%
Exactly 44.85%
Exactly 51.47%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.87%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 38.78%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 060.32%
Exactly 130.49%
Exactly 27.71%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 049.51%
Exactly 134.80%
Exactly 212.23%
Exactly 32.87%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals10.40%
Wins by 3+ goals3.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.67%
Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals23.63%
Wins by 3+ goals9.39%
Wins by 4+ goals3.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.76%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Manchester United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal16.80%
Wins by 2 goals7.36%
Wins by 3 goals2.37%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal23.36%
Wins by 2 goals14.24%
Wins by 3 goals6.39%
Wins by 4 goals2.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.65%7.35%
1.573.45%26.55%
2.548.41%51.59%
3.526.62%73.38%
4.512.40%87.60%
5.54.98%95.02%
6.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.44%33.56%
1.529.79%70.21%
2.59.79%90.21%
3.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.09%21.91%
1.544.82%55.18%
2.519.57%80.43%
3.56.79%93.21%
4.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.13%29.87%
1.534.04%65.96%
2.512.23%87.77%
3.53.45%96.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Manchester United
Score012345
0
7.35%
11.16%
8.48%
4.29%
1.63%
0.49%
1
8.03%
12.19%
9.25%
4.68%
1.78%
0.54%
2
4.38%
6.65%
5.05%
2.56%
0.97%
0.29%
3
1.59%
2.42%
1.84%
0.93%
0.35%
0.11%
4
0.44%
0.66%
0.50%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
Aston Villa
1-08.03%
2-04.38%
2-16.65%
3-01.59%
3-12.42%
3-21.84%
4-00.44%
4-10.66%
4-20.50%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-07.35%
1-112.19%
2-25.05%
3-30.93%
Manchester United
0-111.16%
0-28.48%
1-29.25%
0-34.29%
1-34.68%
2-32.56%
0-41.63%
1-41.78%
2-40.97%
3-40.35%
0-50.49%
1-50.54%
2-50.29%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Manchester United
Score01234
0
29.87%
20.99%
7.38%
1.73%
0.30%
1
15.10%
10.61%
3.73%
0.87%
0.15%
2
3.82%
2.68%
0.94%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.64%
0.45%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-015.10%
2-03.82%
2-12.68%
3-00.64%
3-10.45%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.87%
1-110.61%
2-20.94%
Manchester United
0-120.99%
0-27.38%
1-23.73%
0-31.73%
1-30.87%
2-30.22%
0-40.30%
1-40.15%