Burnley at Southampton

Updated

Burnley

26.7%23.6%49.7%
Burnley WinDrawSouthampton Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.74
2Final Score 2

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
L 0-2 at Manchester City+1930
T 0-0 vs Norwich City-105
T 2-2 at Leicester City+420
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+275
L 1-3 at Everton+425
Southampton
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Leeds United+115
L 1-3 at Chelsea+675
L 1-0 vs Wolverhampton+115
T 0-0 at Manchester City+1500
T 0-0 vs West Ham United+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+295+280+300+309+287+300+309+302.4
Southampton-105+100-102-103-113-105+100+113.5
Draw+255+260+254+270+268+265+270+253.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+310-+280-+265+300+300+302.4
Southampton-110-+100--120-110+100+113.5
Draw+255-+245-+225+260+260+253.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 30.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +295 to +285
Southampton ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Southampton: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +290 to +280
Southampton ML moved from -104 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½-118o2½-115o2½-110-o2½-115o2½-111o2½-102
Underu2½-125u2½-102u2½-105u2½-100-u2½-105u2½+101u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-115o2½-114-o2½-105o2½-115o2½-105o2½-102
Underu2½-115u2½-105u2½-106-u2½-125u2½-105u2½-105u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.87%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 414.72%
Exactly 63.52%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.40%
Exactly 321.99%
Exactly 57.88%
Exactly 71.35%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 039.22%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.18%
Exactly 35.36%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 017.52%
Exactly 130.52%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 315.43%
Exactly 46.72%
Exactly 52.34%
Exactly 60.68%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.95%
Exactly 222.24%
Exactly 42.85%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 39.19%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 064.83%
Exactly 128.10%
Exactly 26.09%
Exactly 30.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 044.65%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 214.52%
Exactly 33.90%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals6.73%
Wins by 3+ goals1.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals31.54%
Wins by 3+ goals14.17%
Wins by 4+ goals5.21%
Wins by 5+ goals1.59%
Wins by 6+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Southampton
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal13.31%
Wins by 2 goals5.02%
Wins by 3 goals1.38%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal24.77%
Wins by 2 goals17.38%
Wins by 3 goals8.96%
Wins by 4 goals3.62%
Wins by 5 goals1.20%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.13%6.87%
1.574.72%25.28%
2.550.09%49.91%
3.528.10%71.90%
4.513.38%86.62%
5.55.49%94.51%
6.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.78%39.22%
1.524.07%75.93%
2.56.89%93.11%
3.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.48%17.52%
1.551.96%48.04%
2.525.38%74.62%
3.59.95%90.05%
4.53.23%96.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.05%28.95%
1.535.17%64.83%
2.512.92%87.08%
3.53.73%96.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Southampton
Score012345
0
6.87%
11.97%
10.42%
6.05%
2.63%
0.92%
1
6.43%
11.20%
9.76%
5.66%
2.47%
0.86%
2
3.01%
5.24%
4.57%
2.65%
1.15%
0.40%
3
0.94%
1.64%
1.42%
0.83%
0.36%
0.13%
4
0.22%
0.38%
0.33%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
Burnley
1-06.43%
2-03.01%
2-15.24%
3-00.94%
3-11.64%
3-21.42%
4-00.22%
4-10.38%
4-20.33%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-06.87%
1-111.20%
2-24.57%
3-30.83%
Southampton
0-111.97%
0-210.42%
1-29.76%
0-36.05%
1-35.66%
2-32.65%
0-42.63%
1-42.47%
2-41.15%
3-40.36%
0-50.92%
1-50.86%
2-50.40%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Southampton
Score01234
0
28.95%
23.34%
9.41%
2.53%
0.51%
1
12.54%
10.12%
4.08%
1.10%
0.22%
2
2.72%
2.19%
0.88%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.39%
0.32%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Burnley
1-012.54%
2-02.72%
2-12.19%
3-00.39%
3-10.32%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-028.95%
1-110.12%
2-20.88%
Southampton
0-123.34%
0-29.41%
1-24.08%
0-32.53%
1-31.10%
2-30.24%
0-40.51%
1-40.22%