Burnley at Arsenal

Updated

Burnley

21.8%20.0%58.2%
Burnley WinDrawArsenal Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.02
0Final Score 0

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
L 1-3 at Leeds United+275
L 1-3 at Manchester United+820
T 0-0 vs West Ham United+240
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+199
T 0-0 at Wolverhampton+380
Arsenal
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+435
W 5-0 at Norwich City-202
W 4-1 at Leeds United-170
W 0-2 vs West Ham United+116
W 0-3 vs Southampton-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+625+1000+1000+1067+938+1000+1067+1119.9
Arsenal-220-335-315-312-352-315-312-289.4
Draw+340+425+440+452+441+440+452+472.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+755-+950-+725+1050+1050+1119.9
Arsenal-260--330--340-345-330-289.4
Draw+375-+425-+330+430+430+472.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 50.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 10.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +1050 to +1000
Arsenal ML moved from -325 to -335

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 50.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 10.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +980 to +950
Arsenal ML moved from -335 to -345

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o3-105o3-104o3+102-o3-104o3+102o3+108
Underu2¾-118u3-115u3-116u3-117-u3-116u3-115u3-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3-105o3-102-o3-110o3+100o3+100o3+108
Underu2½+120u3-115u3-118-u3-120u3-120u3-115u3-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o3-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.0%
 
No54.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.23%
Exactly 224.00%
Exactly 415.41%
Exactly 63.96%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.29%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 58.56%
Exactly 71.57%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 046.99%
Exactly 135.49%
Exactly 213.40%
Exactly 33.37%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 013.26%
Exactly 126.79%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.23%
Exactly 49.21%
Exactly 53.72%
Exactly 61.25%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.66%
Exactly 222.84%
Exactly 43.14%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 39.79%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 070.49%
Exactly 124.65%
Exactly 24.31%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 039.24%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.17%
Exactly 35.35%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals3.56%
Wins by 3+ goals0.70%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals41.89%
Wins by 3+ goals21.33%
Wins by 4+ goals8.96%
Wins by 5+ goals3.13%
Wins by 6+ goals0.89%
Wins by 7+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Arsenal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal9.33%
Wins by 2 goals2.85%
Wins by 3 goals0.62%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal24.97%
Wins by 2 goals20.55%
Wins by 3 goals12.38%
Wins by 4 goals5.83%
Wins by 5 goals2.24%
Wins by 6 goals0.72%
Wins by 7 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.77%6.23%
1.576.48%23.52%
2.552.48%47.52%
3.530.27%69.73%
4.514.86%85.14%
5.56.30%93.70%
6.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.01%46.99%
1.517.52%82.48%
2.54.12%95.88%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.74%13.26%
1.559.95%40.05%
2.532.89%67.11%
3.514.66%85.34%
4.55.45%94.55%
5.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.34%27.66%
1.536.79%63.21%
2.513.95%86.05%
3.54.16%95.84%
4.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Arsenal
Score012345
0
6.23%
12.59%
12.72%
8.56%
4.33%
1.75%
1
4.71%
9.51%
9.60%
6.47%
3.27%
1.32%
2
1.78%
3.59%
3.63%
2.44%
1.23%
0.50%
3
0.45%
0.90%
0.91%
0.62%
0.31%
0.13%
Burnley
1-04.71%
2-01.78%
2-13.59%
3-00.45%
3-10.90%
3-20.91%
Draw
0-06.23%
1-19.51%
2-23.63%
3-30.62%
Arsenal
0-112.59%
0-212.72%
1-29.60%
0-38.56%
1-36.47%
2-32.44%
0-44.33%
1-43.27%
2-41.23%
3-40.31%
0-51.75%
1-51.32%
2-50.50%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Arsenal
Score012345
0
27.66%
25.88%
12.10%
3.77%
0.88%
0.17%
1
9.67%
9.05%
4.23%
1.32%
0.31%
0.06%
2
1.69%
1.58%
0.74%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.20%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-09.67%
2-01.69%
2-11.58%
3-00.20%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-027.66%
1-19.05%
2-20.74%
Arsenal
0-125.88%
0-212.10%
1-24.23%
0-33.77%
1-31.32%
2-30.23%
0-40.88%
1-40.31%
0-50.17%