Southampton at Nott'ham Forest

Updated

Southampton

29.8%27.2%42.9%
Southampton WinDrawNott'ham Forest Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.35
3Final Score 4

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 1-3 at Newcastle United+1050
L 1-0 vs Bournemouth+155
T 3-3 at Arsenal+1340
L 2-0 vs Crystal Palace+187
L 4-1 vs Manchester City+1150
Nottingham Forest
Money Line
L 1-2 at Brentford+400
W 1-3 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+475
L 2-3 at Liverpool+1450
L 2-0 vs Manchester United+400
L 0-2 at Aston Villa+465

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+242+291+280+297+300+297+300+310.7
Nott'ham Forest+120+101+100-102+103-102+103+104.9
Draw+241+249+250+260+257+260+260+272.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+250-+285-+265+290+290+310.7
Nott'ham Forest-120--104--125-105-104+104.9
Draw+240-+255-+235+255+255+272.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 30.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +299 to +293
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 30.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +310 to +285
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from -110 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+106o2½+113o2¼-122o2¼-116o2½+108o2¼-116o2¼-116o2¼-107
Underu2½-124u2½-133u2¼+102u2¼+100u2½-123u2¼+100u2½-123u2¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+105o2½+125-o2½+100o2½+120o2½+125o2¼-107
Underu2½-125u2½-125u2½-145-u2½-130u2½-140u2½-125u2¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.90%
Exactly 226.04%
Exactly 412.70%
Exactly 62.48%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.53%
Exactly 321.00%
Exactly 56.14%
Exactly 70.86%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 034.17%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.70%
Exactly 37.05%
Exactly 41.89%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 026.04%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 223.57%
Exactly 310.57%
Exactly 43.56%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.63%
Exactly 220.46%
Exactly 42.14%
 
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 37.64%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 060.83%
Exactly 130.24%
Exactly 27.52%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 053.64%
Exactly 133.41%
Exactly 210.41%
Exactly 32.16%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals11.43%
Wins by 3+ goals3.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals19.91%
Wins by 3+ goals7.21%
Wins by 4+ goals2.09%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Nottingham Forest
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal18.33%
Wins by 2 goals8.09%
Wins by 3 goals2.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal22.98%
Wins by 2 goals12.71%
Wins by 3 goals5.12%
Wins by 4 goals1.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.10%8.90%
1.569.57%30.43%
2.543.53%56.47%
3.522.53%77.47%
4.59.83%90.17%
5.53.68%96.32%
6.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.83%34.17%
1.529.13%70.87%
2.59.43%90.57%
3.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.96%26.04%
1.538.92%61.08%
2.515.35%84.65%
3.54.78%95.22%
4.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.37%32.63%
1.530.83%69.17%
2.510.37%89.63%
3.52.72%97.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Nottingham Forest
Score012345
0
8.90%
11.97%
8.06%
3.61%
1.22%
0.33%
1
9.56%
12.86%
8.65%
3.88%
1.30%
0.35%
2
5.13%
6.90%
4.64%
2.08%
0.70%
0.19%
3
1.84%
2.47%
1.66%
0.75%
0.25%
0.07%
4
0.49%
0.66%
0.45%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-09.56%
2-05.13%
2-16.90%
3-01.84%
3-12.47%
3-21.66%
4-00.49%
4-10.66%
4-20.45%
4-30.20%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-08.90%
1-112.86%
2-24.64%
3-30.75%
Nottingham Forest
0-111.97%
0-28.06%
1-28.65%
0-33.61%
1-33.88%
2-32.08%
0-41.22%
1-41.30%
2-40.70%
3-40.25%
0-50.33%
1-50.35%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Nottingham Forest
Score01234
0
32.63%
20.32%
6.33%
1.31%
0.20%
1
16.22%
10.10%
3.15%
0.65%
0.10%
2
4.03%
2.51%
0.78%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.67%
0.42%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Southampton
1-016.22%
2-04.03%
2-12.51%
3-00.67%
3-10.42%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.63%
1-110.10%
2-20.78%
Nottingham Forest
0-120.32%
0-26.33%
1-23.15%
0-31.31%
1-30.65%
2-30.16%
0-40.20%
1-40.10%