Newcastle Utd at Leeds United

Updated

Newcastle United

46.9%25.9%27.2%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawLeeds United Win
1.50Projected Goals 1.07
2Final Score 2

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+130
W 1-3 vs Southampton-373
W 4-1 at Everton-130
W 1-6 vs Tottenham-115
L 0-3 at Aston Villa+106
Leeds United
Money Line
L 1-2 at Manchester City+1530
L 1-4 at Bournemouth+190
T 1-1 vs Leicester City+140
L 1-2 at Fulham+198
L 6-1 vs Liverpool+350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd-150-162-160-162--162-160-148.3
Leeds United+392+414+390+420-+420+420+438.4
Draw+323+340+340+345-+345+345+360.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd-150--170--175-165-165-148.3
Leeds United+365-+411-+315+400+411+438.4
Draw+325-+340-+300+340+340+360.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Leeds United: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from -155 to -164
Leeds United ML moved from +425 to +418

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Leeds United: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from -160 to -170
Leeds United ML moved from +369 to +360

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+107o3-117o3-120o3-113o3-108o3-113o3-108o3-105
Underu3-127u3-101u3+100u3-103u3-107u3-103u3+100u3+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3-105o3-106-o3-110o3-120o3-105o3-105
Underu3-120u3-115u3-114-u3-120u3+100u3+100u3+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.1%
 
No48.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.66%
Exactly 225.28%
Exactly 413.91%
Exactly 63.06%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.67%
Exactly 321.65%
Exactly 57.15%
Exactly 71.12%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 022.41%
Exactly 133.52%
Exactly 225.07%
Exactly 312.50%
Exactly 44.67%
Exactly 51.40%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 034.17%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.70%
Exactly 37.05%
Exactly 41.89%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.43%
Exactly 221.54%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 38.54%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 050.03%
Exactly 134.65%
Exactly 212.00%
Exactly 32.77%
Exactly 40.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 060.82%
Exactly 130.24%
Exactly 27.52%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals23.36%
Wins by 3+ goals9.19%
Wins by 4+ goals2.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.72%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals10.27%
Wins by 3+ goals2.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Leeds United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal23.47%
Wins by 2 goals14.18%
Wins by 3 goals6.28%
Wins by 4 goals2.18%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal16.85%
Wins by 2 goals7.30%
Wins by 3 goals2.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.34%7.66%
1.572.67%27.33%
2.547.39%52.61%
3.525.74%74.26%
4.511.83%88.17%
5.54.68%95.32%
6.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.59%22.41%
1.544.07%55.93%
2.519.01%80.99%
3.56.51%93.49%
4.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.83%34.17%
1.529.14%70.86%
2.59.44%90.56%
3.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.57%30.43%
1.533.37%66.63%
2.511.83%88.17%
3.53.29%96.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Leeds United
Score01234
0
7.66%
8.22%
4.42%
1.58%
0.42%
1
11.45%
12.30%
6.60%
2.36%
0.63%
2
8.56%
9.20%
4.94%
1.77%
0.47%
3
4.27%
4.59%
2.46%
0.88%
0.24%
4
1.60%
1.71%
0.92%
0.33%
0.09%
5
0.48%
0.51%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
Newcastle United
1-011.45%
2-08.56%
2-19.20%
3-04.27%
3-14.59%
3-22.46%
4-01.60%
4-11.71%
4-20.92%
4-30.33%
5-00.48%
5-10.51%
5-20.28%
Draw
0-07.66%
1-112.30%
2-24.94%
3-30.88%
Leeds United
0-18.22%
0-24.42%
1-26.60%
0-31.58%
1-32.36%
2-31.77%
0-40.42%
1-40.63%
2-40.47%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Leeds United
Score0123
0
30.43%
15.13%
3.76%
0.62%
1
21.07%
10.48%
2.61%
0.43%
2
7.30%
3.63%
0.90%
0.15%
3
1.68%
0.84%
0.21%
0.03%
4
0.29%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-021.07%
2-07.30%
2-13.63%
3-01.68%
3-10.84%
3-20.21%
4-00.29%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-030.43%
1-110.48%
2-20.90%
Leeds United
0-115.13%
0-23.76%
1-22.61%
0-30.62%
1-30.43%
2-30.15%