Leeds United at Chelsea

Updated

Leeds United

19.4%16.7%63.9%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.70Projected Goals 2.32
2Final Score 3

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Brentford-115
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+133
T 0-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion+250
L 1-2 at Tottenham+500
T 1-1 vs Leicester City+165
Chelsea
Money Line
L 2-3 at West Ham United-130
W 2-1 at Watford-325
T 1-1 vs Manchester United-180
W 3-0 at Leicester City-135
T 1-1 vs Burnley-365

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+825+1100+1250+1189+1295+1250+1295+1240.2
Chelsea-325-455-420-384-522-420-384-358.0
Draw+425+575+550+553+571+550+575+595.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+900-+1100--+1150+1150+1240.2
Chelsea-310--430---450-430-358.0
Draw+420-+533--+550+550+595.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 50.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 30.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +1100 to +112
Chelsea ML moved from -435 to -455

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 40.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Leeds United ML
Chelsea ML moved from -414 to -430

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3¼-108o3¼-110o3-140-o3¼-110o3-140o3¼-102
Underu3-120u3¼-112u3¼-110u3+125-u3¼-110u3+125u3¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3-125o3-144-o3-125o3-150o3-125o3¼-102
Underu3-120u3+105u3+124-u3-105u3+130u3+130u3¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-125 to o3-150
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.86%
Exactly 222.22%
Exactly 416.94%
Exactly 65.16%
Exactly 80.84%
 
Exactly 114.70%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.24%
Exactly 72.23%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 049.42%
Exactly 134.83%
Exactly 212.28%
Exactly 32.88%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 09.83%
Exactly 122.81%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 320.45%
Exactly 411.86%
Exactly 55.50%
Exactly 62.13%
Exactly 70.70%
Exactly 80.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.65%
Exactly 224.17%
Exactly 43.95%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.52%
Exactly 311.28%
Exactly 51.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 072.15%
Exactly 123.55%
Exactly 23.84%
Exactly 30.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 034.17%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.70%
Exactly 37.05%
Exactly 41.89%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals2.45%
Wins by 3+ goals0.45%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals50.24%
Wins by 3+ goals28.42%
Wins by 4+ goals13.45%
Wins by 5+ goals5.39%
Wins by 6+ goals1.84%
Wins by 7+ goals0.52%
Wins by 8+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Chelsea
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal7.09%
Wins by 2 goals2.00%
Wins by 3 goals0.40%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.36%
Wins by 2 goals21.82%
Wins by 3 goals14.98%
Wins by 4 goals8.06%
Wins by 5 goals3.55%
Wins by 6 goals1.32%
Wins by 7 goals0.42%
Wins by 8 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.14%4.86%
1.580.44%19.56%
2.558.22%41.78%
3.535.82%64.18%
4.518.88%81.12%
5.58.64%91.36%
6.53.47%96.53%
7.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.58%49.42%
1.515.75%84.25%
2.53.47%96.53%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.17%9.83%
1.567.36%32.64%
2.540.91%59.09%
3.520.46%79.54%
4.58.60%91.40%
5.53.10%96.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.35%24.65%
1.540.82%59.18%
2.516.66%83.34%
3.55.38%94.62%
4.51.43%98.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Chelsea
Score012345
0
4.86%
11.27%
13.07%
10.11%
5.86%
2.72%
1
3.43%
7.94%
9.21%
7.12%
4.13%
1.92%
2
1.21%
2.80%
3.25%
2.51%
1.46%
0.68%
3
0.28%
0.66%
0.76%
0.59%
0.34%
0.16%
Leeds United
1-03.43%
2-01.21%
2-12.80%
3-00.28%
3-10.66%
3-20.76%
Draw
0-04.86%
1-17.94%
2-23.25%
3-30.59%
Chelsea
0-111.27%
0-213.07%
1-29.21%
0-310.11%
1-37.12%
2-32.51%
0-45.86%
1-44.13%
2-41.46%
3-40.34%
0-52.72%
1-51.92%
2-50.68%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Chelsea
Score012345
0
24.65%
26.48%
14.22%
5.09%
1.37%
0.29%
1
8.05%
8.64%
4.64%
1.66%
0.45%
0.10%
2
1.31%
1.41%
0.76%
0.27%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.14%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-08.05%
2-01.31%
2-11.41%
3-00.14%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-024.65%
1-18.64%
2-20.76%
Chelsea
0-126.48%
0-214.22%
1-24.64%
0-35.09%
1-31.66%
2-30.27%
0-41.37%
1-40.45%
0-50.29%