Aston Villa at Southampton

Updated

Aston Villa

30.4%24.4%45.2%
Aston Villa WinDrawSouthampton Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.65
0Final Score 1

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 4-1 vs West Ham United+205
L 1-3 at Arsenal+285
L 3-2 vs Wolverhampton+120
L 1-2 at Tottenham+255
W 1-0 at Manchester United+685
Southampton
Money Line
W 1-0 at Watford+128
T 2-2 vs Burnley+100
W 0-1 vs Leeds United+115
L 1-3 at Chelsea+675
L 1-0 vs Wolverhampton+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+230+250+260+254+248+260+260+261.7
Southampton+120+105+110+117+100+110+117+121.7
Draw+245+270+255+259+266+255+270+266.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+260-+250-+240+275+275+261.7
Southampton+105-+105--115+100+105+121.7
Draw+255-+259-+230+255+259+266.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Southampton: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +271 to +259
Southampton ML moved from +102 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 30.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +280 to +252
Southampton ML moved from +100 to -104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2¾-112o2¾-112o2¾+101-o2¾-112o2¾+101o2¾+106
Underu2½+102u2¾-108u2¾-108u2¾-111-u2¾-108u2¾-108u2¾-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-135o2½-131-o2½-135o2½-130o2½-130o2¾+106
Underu2½+100u2½+115u2½+111-u2½+105u2½+110u2½+115u2¾-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%
 
No45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.31%
Exactly 224.09%
Exactly 415.32%
Exactly 63.90%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.43%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 58.47%
Exactly 71.54%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 032.97%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.29%
Exactly 37.51%
Exactly 42.08%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 019.14%
Exactly 131.64%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 314.42%
Exactly 45.96%
Exactly 51.97%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.82%
Exactly 222.77%
Exactly 43.11%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 39.71%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 059.83%
Exactly 130.73%
Exactly 27.89%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 046.51%
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 213.63%
Exactly 33.48%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals9.72%
Wins by 3+ goals2.85%
Wins by 4+ goals0.63%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals26.60%
Wins by 3+ goals11.33%
Wins by 4+ goals3.95%
Wins by 5+ goals1.14%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Southampton
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal15.71%
Wins by 2 goals6.87%
Wins by 3 goals2.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal23.42%
Wins by 2 goals15.27%
Wins by 3 goals7.38%
Wins by 4 goals2.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.87%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.69%6.31%
1.576.26%23.74%
2.552.17%47.83%
3.529.99%70.01%
4.514.66%85.34%
5.56.19%93.81%
6.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.03%32.97%
1.530.45%69.55%
2.510.15%89.85%
3.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.86%19.14%
1.549.22%50.78%
2.523.06%76.94%
3.58.64%91.36%
4.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.18%27.82%
1.536.58%63.42%
2.513.81%86.19%
3.54.11%95.89%
4.51.00%99.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Southampton
Score012345
0
6.31%
10.43%
8.63%
4.75%
1.97%
0.65%
1
7.00%
11.58%
9.57%
5.28%
2.18%
0.72%
2
3.88%
6.42%
5.31%
2.93%
1.21%
0.40%
3
1.44%
2.38%
1.96%
1.08%
0.45%
0.15%
4
0.40%
0.66%
0.54%
0.30%
0.12%
0.04%
Aston Villa
1-07.00%
2-03.88%
2-16.42%
3-01.44%
3-12.38%
3-21.96%
4-00.40%
4-10.66%
4-20.54%
4-30.30%
Draw
0-06.31%
1-111.58%
2-25.31%
3-31.08%
4-40.12%
Southampton
0-110.43%
0-28.63%
1-29.57%
0-34.75%
1-35.28%
2-32.93%
0-41.97%
1-42.18%
2-41.21%
3-40.45%
0-50.65%
1-50.72%
2-50.40%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Southampton
Score01234
0
27.82%
21.30%
8.15%
2.08%
0.40%
1
14.29%
10.94%
4.19%
1.07%
0.20%
2
3.67%
2.81%
1.08%
0.27%
0.05%
3
0.63%
0.48%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-014.29%
2-03.67%
2-12.81%
3-00.63%
3-10.48%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-027.82%
1-110.94%
2-21.08%
Southampton
0-121.30%
0-28.15%
1-24.19%
0-32.08%
1-31.07%
2-30.27%
0-40.40%
1-40.20%