Newcastle Utd at Liverpool

Updated

Newcastle United

9.5%7.2%83.3%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.37Projected Goals 3.21
1Final Score 3

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
L 0-4 at Leicester City+375
W 0-1 vs Burnley+140
T 1-1 vs Norwich City+116
L 0-2 at Arsenal+530
T 3-3 vs Brentford+145
Liverpool
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Aston Villa-420
W 1-0 at Wolverhampton-270
W 4-1 at Everton-295
W 0-4 vs Southampton-420
W 0-4 vs Arsenal-195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+1800+1900+2500+2251+2897+2500+2897+2679.5
Liverpool-800-850-950-821-1681-950-821-755.2
Draw+775+825+950+1011+1108+950+1108+1135.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+2250-+2300--+2200+2300+2679.5
Liverpool-900--1200---950-950-755.2
Draw+825-+1025--+900+1025+1135.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 30.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 30.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +2347 to +2251
Liverpool ML moved from -1406 to -1681

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 20.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +2100 to +1800
Liverpool ML moved from -1050 to -1200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o3¾-105o3¾-112o3½-131-o3¾-112o3½-131o3¾-105
Underu3½+100u3¾-115u3¾-108u3½+116-u3¾-108u3¾-108u3¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-125o3½-135o3½-132-o3½-140o3½-130o3½-130o3¾-105
Underu3½+105u3½+115u3½+112-u3½+110u3½+110u3½+115u3¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-127 to o3¾-115
The Under moved from u3¾-108 to u3½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o3½-130
The Under moved from u3½+110 to u2½+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes29.4%
 
No70.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.79%
Exactly 217.88%
Exactly 419.07%
Exactly 68.14%
Exactly 81.86%
Exactly 100.26%
 
Exactly 110.00%
Exactly 321.33%
Exactly 513.65%
Exactly 74.16%
Exactly 90.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 069.38%
Exactly 125.37%
Exactly 24.64%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 04.03%
Exactly 112.94%
Exactly 220.78%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 417.86%
Exactly 511.47%
Exactly 66.14%
Exactly 72.82%
Exactly 81.13%
Exactly 90.40%
Exactly 100.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.08%
Exactly 226.18%
Exactly 45.98%
Exactly 60.55%
 
Exactly 131.61%
Exactly 314.45%
Exactly 51.98%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 084.43%
Exactly 114.29%
Exactly 21.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 022.60%
Exactly 133.61%
Exactly 224.99%
Exactly 312.39%
Exactly 44.61%
Exactly 51.37%
Exactly 60.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals0.28%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals75.33%
Wins by 3+ goals54.38%
Wins by 4+ goals33.85%
Wins by 5+ goals18.24%
Wins by 6+ goals8.59%
Wins by 7+ goals3.56%
Wins by 8+ goals1.30%
Wins by 9+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Liverpool
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal1.74%
Wins by 2 goals0.26%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal15.38%
Wins by 2 goals20.95%
Wins by 3 goals20.53%
Wins by 4 goals15.60%
Wins by 5 goals9.66%
Wins by 6 goals5.03%
Wins by 7 goals2.26%
Wins by 8 goals0.89%
Wins by 9 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.21%2.79%
1.587.21%12.79%
2.569.32%30.68%
3.548.00%52.00%
4.528.93%71.07%
5.515.28%84.72%
6.57.14%92.86%
7.52.98%97.02%
8.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.530.62%69.38%
1.55.26%94.74%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.97%4.03%
1.583.03%16.97%
2.562.26%37.74%
3.540.01%59.99%
4.522.15%77.85%
5.510.68%89.32%
6.54.53%95.47%
7.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.92%19.08%
1.549.31%50.69%
2.523.13%76.87%
3.58.68%91.32%
4.52.69%97.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Liverpool
Score012345
0
2.79%
8.98%
14.41%
15.43%
12.39%
7.96%
1
1.02%
3.28%
5.27%
5.64%
4.53%
2.91%
2
0.19%
0.60%
0.96%
1.03%
0.83%
0.53%
Newcastle United
1-01.02%
2-00.19%
2-10.60%
Draw
0-02.79%
1-13.28%
2-20.96%
3-30.13%
Liverpool
0-18.98%
0-214.41%
1-25.27%
0-315.43%
1-35.64%
2-31.03%
0-412.39%
1-44.53%
2-40.83%
3-40.10%
0-57.96%
1-52.91%
2-50.53%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
19.08%
28.38%
21.10%
10.46%
3.89%
1.16%
0.29%
1
3.23%
4.80%
3.57%
1.77%
0.66%
0.20%
0.05%
2
0.27%
0.41%
0.30%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-03.23%
2-00.27%
2-10.41%
Draw
0-019.08%
1-14.80%
2-20.30%
Liverpool
0-128.38%
0-221.10%
1-23.57%
0-310.46%
1-31.77%
2-30.15%
0-43.89%
1-40.66%
0-51.16%
1-50.20%
0-60.29%