Luton Town at Liverpool

Updated

Luton Town

2.9%7.7%89.5%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.51Projected Goals 3.33
1Final Score 4

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Manchester United+315
L 3-1 vs Sheffield United-145
T 4-4 at Newcastle United+480
W 0-4 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+320
T 1-1 at Burnley+260
Liverpool
Money Line
W 4-1 at Brentford-160
W 1-3 vs Burnley-655
L 1-3 at Arsenal+225
W 1-4 vs Chelsea-165
W 4-0 at Bournemouth-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+1356+859+800+950+832+950+950+987.9
Liverpool-508-352-375-385-351-385-351-327.6
Draw+637+538+525+580+527+580+580+604.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+1175-+915--+940+940+987.9
Liverpool-577--413---425-413-327.6
Draw+685-+570--+590+590+604.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Liverpool: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +924 to +832
Liverpool ML moved from -386 to -397

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Liverpool: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +930 to +915
Liverpool ML moved from -500 to -525

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-103o3½-109o3½-108o3½+100o3½-106o3½+100o3½+100o3½+107
Underu3½-113u3½-107u3½-112u3½-116u3½-108u3½-116u3½-107u3½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o3½-115o3½-105-o3½-115o3½-105o3½-105o3½+107
Underu3½+100u3½-105u3½-115-u3½-115u3½-115u3½-105u3½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-120 to o3¾-108
The Under moved from u3¾-112 to u3½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.5%
 
No61.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.14%
Exactly 215.82%
Exactly 419.48%
Exactly 69.59%
Exactly 82.53%
Exactly 100.42%
 
Exactly 18.23%
Exactly 320.27%
Exactly 514.97%
Exactly 75.27%
Exactly 91.08%
Exactly 110.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 060.06%
Exactly 130.62%
Exactly 27.81%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 03.57%
Exactly 111.89%
Exactly 219.82%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 418.35%
Exactly 512.24%
Exactly 66.80%
Exactly 73.24%
Exactly 81.35%
Exactly 90.50%
Exactly 100.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 016.87%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 47.05%
Exactly 60.74%
 
Exactly 130.02%
Exactly 315.85%
Exactly 52.51%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 078.97%
Exactly 118.64%
Exactly 22.20%
Exactly 30.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 021.36%
Exactly 132.98%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 313.09%
Exactly 45.05%
Exactly 51.56%
Exactly 60.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals0.54%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals74.20%
Wins by 3+ goals53.95%
Wins by 4+ goals34.06%
Wins by 5+ goals18.71%
Wins by 6+ goals9.01%
Wins by 7+ goals3.83%
Wins by 8+ goals1.43%
Wins by 9+ goals0.45%
Wins by 10+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Liverpool
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal2.32%
Wins by 2 goals0.47%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal15.19%
Wins by 2 goals20.25%
Wins by 3 goals19.90%
Wins by 4 goals15.34%
Wins by 5 goals9.70%
Wins by 6 goals5.19%
Wins by 7 goals2.40%
Wins by 8 goals0.98%
Wins by 9 goals0.35%
Wins by 10 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.86%2.14%
1.589.62%10.38%
2.573.80%26.20%
3.553.53%46.47%
4.534.06%65.94%
5.519.09%80.91%
6.59.50%90.50%
7.54.24%95.76%
8.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.94%60.06%
1.59.32%90.68%
2.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.43%3.57%
1.584.54%15.46%
2.564.73%35.27%
3.542.71%57.29%
4.524.35%75.65%
5.512.12%87.88%
6.55.32%94.68%
7.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.13%16.87%
1.553.10%46.90%
2.526.39%73.61%
3.510.54%89.46%
4.53.49%96.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Liverpool
Score012345
0
2.14%
7.14%
11.90%
13.23%
11.02%
7.35%
1
1.09%
3.64%
6.07%
6.74%
5.62%
3.75%
2
0.28%
0.93%
1.55%
1.72%
1.43%
0.96%
Luton Town
1-01.09%
2-00.28%
2-10.93%
Draw
0-02.14%
1-13.64%
2-21.55%
3-30.29%
Liverpool
0-17.14%
0-211.90%
1-26.07%
0-313.23%
1-36.74%
2-31.72%
0-411.02%
1-45.62%
2-41.43%
3-40.24%
0-57.35%
1-53.75%
2-50.96%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
16.87%
26.04%
20.10%
10.34%
3.99%
1.23%
0.32%
1
3.98%
6.15%
4.74%
2.44%
0.94%
0.29%
0.07%
2
0.47%
0.73%
0.56%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Luton Town
1-03.98%
2-00.47%
2-10.73%
Draw
0-016.87%
1-16.15%
2-20.56%
Liverpool
0-126.04%
0-220.10%
1-24.74%
0-310.34%
1-32.44%
2-30.29%
0-43.99%
1-40.94%
2-40.11%
0-51.23%
1-50.29%
0-60.32%