Liverpool at Leeds United

Updated

Liverpool

67.2%18.8%14.0%
Liverpool WinDrawWin
2.22Projected Goals 0.91

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sunderland-290
W 2-0 at West Ham United-160
L 3-0 vs Nottingham Forest-220
L 0-3 at Manchester City+295
W 0-2 vs Aston Villa-151
Leeds United
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Chelsea+305
L 2-3 at Manchester City+1100
L 2-1 vs Aston Villa+248
L 1-3 at Nottingham Forest+232
L 0-3 at Brighton and Hove Albion+285

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-128-118-115-117-117-117-115-108.4
Leeds United+310+295+290+316+316+316+316+331.2
Draw+300+285+280+289+289+289+289+303.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-145--125-120-130-120-120-108.4
Leeds United+315-+313+300+290+310+313+331.2
Draw+290-+291+280+270+285+291+303.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 30.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -133 to -143
Leeds United ML moved from +310 to +295

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 30.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Liverpool ML
Leeds United ML moved from +315 to +290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o2¾-114o2¾-118o2¾-113o2¾-113o2¾-113o2¾-113o2¾-105
Underu3-122u2¾+100u2¾-102u2¾-103u2¾-103u2¾-103u2¾+100u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+115o3+115o3+110o3+100o2½-145o2½-145o2¾-105
Underu3-130u3-135u3-135u3-130u3-130u2½+125u3-130u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+115 to u3-135

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.2%
 
No46.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.37%
Exactly 221.41%
Exactly 417.48%
Exactly 65.71%
Exactly 81.00%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.68%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.95%
Exactly 72.55%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 010.84%
Exactly 124.09%
Exactly 226.76%
Exactly 319.82%
Exactly 411.01%
Exactly 54.89%
Exactly 61.81%
Exactly 70.57%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 040.32%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 216.63%
Exactly 35.04%
Exactly 41.14%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.48%
Exactly 224.65%
Exactly 44.31%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.02%
Exactly 311.91%
Exactly 51.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 035.75%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.91%
Exactly 36.49%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 065.67%
Exactly 127.62%
Exactly 25.81%
Exactly 30.81%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals43.70%
Wins by 3+ goals23.55%
Wins by 4+ goals10.62%
Wins by 5+ goals4.06%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals4.44%
Wins by 3+ goals1.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Leeds United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal23.42%
Wins by 2 goals20.15%
Wins by 3 goals12.93%
Wins by 4 goals6.56%
Wins by 5 goals2.74%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal9.58%
Wins by 2 goals3.36%
Wins by 3 goals0.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.63%4.37%
1.581.95%18.05%
2.560.53%39.47%
3.538.19%61.81%
4.520.70%79.30%
5.59.76%90.24%
6.54.05%95.95%
7.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.16%10.84%
1.565.07%34.93%
2.538.31%61.69%
3.518.49%81.51%
4.57.49%92.51%
5.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.68%40.32%
1.523.06%76.94%
2.56.42%93.58%
3.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.52%23.48%
1.542.50%57.50%
2.517.85%82.15%
3.55.94%94.06%
4.51.63%98.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Leeds United
Score01234
0
4.37%
3.97%
1.80%
0.55%
0.12%
1
9.71%
8.82%
4.01%
1.21%
0.28%
2
10.79%
9.80%
4.45%
1.35%
0.31%
3
7.99%
7.26%
3.30%
1.00%
0.23%
4
4.44%
4.03%
1.83%
0.55%
0.13%
5
1.97%
1.79%
0.81%
0.25%
0.06%
Liverpool
1-09.71%
2-010.79%
2-19.80%
3-07.99%
3-17.26%
3-23.30%
4-04.44%
4-14.03%
4-21.83%
4-30.55%
5-01.97%
5-11.79%
5-20.81%
5-30.25%
Draw
0-04.37%
1-18.82%
2-24.45%
3-31.00%
4-40.13%
Leeds United
0-13.97%
0-21.80%
1-24.01%
0-30.55%
1-31.21%
2-31.35%
0-40.12%
1-40.28%
2-40.31%
3-40.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Leeds United
Score0123
0
23.48%
9.87%
2.08%
0.29%
1
24.15%
10.16%
2.14%
0.30%
2
12.42%
5.22%
1.10%
0.15%
3
4.26%
1.79%
0.38%
0.05%
4
1.10%
0.46%
0.10%
0.01%
5
0.23%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-024.15%
2-012.42%
2-15.22%
3-04.26%
3-11.79%
3-20.38%
4-01.10%
4-10.46%
5-00.23%
Draw
0-023.48%
1-110.16%
2-21.10%
Leeds United
0-19.87%
0-22.08%
1-22.14%
0-30.29%
1-30.30%
2-30.15%